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Published on Sunday, May 7, 2006 by the Independent/UK

Ice-Capped Roof of World Turns to Desert

Scientists warn of ecological catastrophe across Asia as glaciers melt

and continent's great rivers dry up

by Geoffrey Lean

 

 

Global warming is rapidly melting the ice-bound roof of the world, and

turning it into desert, leading scientists have revealed.

 

The Chinese Academy of Sciences - the country's top scientific body -

has announced that the glaciers of the Tibetan plateau are vanishing so

fast that they will be reduced by 50 per cent every decade. Each year

enough water permanently melts from them to fill the entire Yellow

River.

 

They added that the vast environmental changes brought about by the

process will increase droughts and sandstorms over the rest of the

country, and devastate many of the world's greatest rivers, in what

experts warn will be an " ecological catastrophe " .

 

The plateau, says the academy, has a staggering 46,298 glaciers,

covering almost 60,000 square miles. At an average height of 13,000

feet above sea level, they make up the largest area of ice outside the

polar regions, nearly a sixth of the world's total.

 

The glaciers have been receding over the past four decades, as the

world has gradually warmed up, but the process has now accelerated

alarmingly. Average temperatures in Tibet have risen by 2 degrees

Fahrenheit over the past 20 years, causing the glaciers to shrink by 7

per cent a year, which means that they will halve every 10 years.

 

Prof Dong Guangrong, speaking for the academy - after a study analysing

data from 680 weather stations scattered across the country - said that

the rising temperatures would thaw out the tundra of the plateau,

turning it into desert.

 

He added: " The melting glaciers will ultimately trigger more droughts,

expand desertification and increase sand storms. " The water running off

the plateau is increasing soil erosion and so allowing the deserts to

spread.

 

Sandstorms, blowing in from the degraded land, are already plaguing the

country. So far this year, 13 of them have hit northern China,

including Beijing. Three weeks ago one storm swept across an eighth of

the vast country and even reached Korea and Japan. On the way, it

dumped a mind-boggling 336,000 tons of dust on the capital, causing

dangerous air pollution.

 

The rising temperatures are also endangering the newly built world's

highest railway, which is due to go into operation this summer. They

threaten to melt the permafrost under the tracks of the £1.7bn Tibetan

railway, constructed to link the area with China's northwestern Qinghai

province.

 

Perhaps worst of all, the melting threatens to disrupt water supplies

over much of Asia. Many of the continent's greatest rivers - including

the Yangtze, the Indus, the Ganges, the Brahmaputra, the Mekong and the

Yellow River - rise on the plateau.

 

In China alone, 300 million people depend on water from the glaciers

for their survival. Yet the plateau is drying up, threatening to

escalate an already dire situation across the country. Already 400

cities are short of water; in 100 of them - including Beijing - the

shortages are becoming critical.

 

Even hopes that the melting glaciers might provide a temporary respite,

by increasing the amount of water flowing off the plateau - have been

dashed. For most of the water is evaporating before it reaches the

people that need it - again because of the rising temperatures brought

by global warning.

 

Yao Tandong, head of the academy's Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Research

Institute, summed it up. " The full-scale glacier shrinkage in the

plateau regions will eventually lead to an ecological catastrophe, " he

said.

© Copyright 2006 Independent News and Media Limited

 

http://www.commondreams.org/headlines06/0507-05.htm

 

 

What's gonna happen when the buses don't run

and what's gonna happen when the, winter comes

what are you gonna do,

what are you gonna do

when the oil runs out?

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