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February 12, 2006

Violent Crime Rising Sharply in Some Cities

By KATE ZERNIKE

MILWAUKEE - One woman here killed a friend after they argued over a

brown silk dress. A man killed a neighbor whose 10-year-old son had

mistakenly used his dish soap. Two men argued over a cellphone, and

pulling out their guns, the police say, killed a 13-year-old girl in

the crossfire.

 

While violent crime has been at historic lows nationwide and in cities

like New York, Miami and Los Angeles, it is rising sharply here and in

many other places across the country.

 

And while such crime in the 1990's was characterized by battles over

gangs and drug turf, the police say the current rise in homicides has

been set off by something more bewildering: petty disputes that hardly

seem the stuff of fistfights, much less gunfire or stabbings.

 

Suspects tell the police they killed someone who " disrespected " them or

a family member, or someone who was " mean mugging " them, which the

police loosely translate as giving a dirty look. And more weapons are

on the streets, giving people a way to act on their anger.

 

Police Chief Nannette H. Hegerty of Milwaukee calls it " the rage

thing. "

 

" We're seeing a very angry population, and they don't go to fists

anymore, they go right to guns, " she said. " A police department can

have an effect on drugs or gangs. But two people arguing in a home, how

does the police department go in and stop that? "

 

Here in Milwaukee, where homicides jumped from 88 in 2004 to 122 last

year, the number classified as arguments rose to 45 from 17, making up

by far the largest category of killings, as gang and drug murders

declined.

 

In Houston, where homicides rose 24 percent last year, disputes were by

far the largest category, 113 out of 336 killings. Officials were

alarmed by the increase in murders well before Hurricane Katrina

swelled the city's population by 150,000 people in September; the

police say 18 homicides were related to evacuees.

 

In Philadelphia, where 380 homicides made 2005 the deadliest year since

1997, 208 were disputes; drug-related killings, which accounted for

about 40 percent of homicides during the high-crime period of the early

1990's, accounted for just 13 percent.

 

" When we ask, 'Why did you shoot this guy?' it's, 'He bumped into me,'

'He looked at my girl the wrong way,' " said Police Commissioner

Sylvester M. Johnson of Philadelphia. " It's not like they're riding

around doing drive-by shootings. It's arguments - stupid arguments

over stupid things. "

 

The police say the suspects and the victims tend to be black, young -

midteens to mid-20's - and have previous criminal records. They tend

to know each other. Several cities said that domestic violence had also

risen. And the murders tend to be limited to particular neighborhoods.

Downtown Milwaukee has not had a homicide in about five years, but in

largely black neighborhoods on the north side, murders rose from 57 in

2004 to 94 last year.

 

" We're not talking about a city, we're talking about this

subpopulation, that's what drives everything, " said David M. Kennedy,

director of the Center for Crime Prevention and Control at John Jay

College of Criminal Justice in New York. " When they calm down, all the

numbers go down. When they heat up, all the numbers go up. They hurt

each other over personal stuff. It's respect and disrespect, and it's

girls. "

 

While arguments have always made up a large number of homicides, the

police say the trigger point now comes faster.

 

" Traditionally, you could see the beef growing and maybe hitting the

volatile point, " said Daniel Coleman, the commander of the homicide

unit in Boston. " Now we see these things, they're flashes, they're very

unpredictable. Even five years ago, in what started as a fight or

dispute, maybe you'd have a knife shown. Now it's an automatic default

to a firearm. "

 

In robberies, Milwaukee's Chief Hegerty said, " even after the person

gives up, the guy with the gun shoots him anyway. We didn't have as

much of that before. "

 

Homicide rates are driven by different factors in each city, but even

cities whose rates have fallen have seen problems with disputes, though

those disputes are often about drugs or gangs. " As the murder universe

continues to shrink in New York, the common denominators remain

consistent, " said Police Department Deputy Commissioner Paul J. Browne.

" In most instances, killers and victims knew each other, each had

criminal records, and they were engaged in disputes, usually over

narcotics. "

 

Nationally, the homicide rate peaked in 1991, declined steadily after

1993 and has remained essentially flat since 1999. But in the first six

months of 2005, according to preliminary statistics from the F.B.I.,

the number of homicides nationwide rose 2.1 percent, with the greatest

increase, 4.9 percent, in the Midwest.

 

Yet many cities have seen far steeper increases. In Boston and San

Francisco the number of homicides last year was at its highest in a

decade, and in Prince George's County, Md., outside Washington, it was

the highest ever.

 

In St. Louis, the number of homicides rose to 131 last year from 113 in

2004. Tulsa had 64 murders, 2 more than in 1993. Charlotte jumped from

a record low of 60 homicides in 2004 to 85 in 2005. And the murder rate

for 2005 was above the 15-year average in Kansas City, Mo., and

Nashville.

 

A large part of the problem, the police say, is simply more guns on the

streets as gun laws have loosened around the country. In Philadelphia,

Commissioner Johnson said, since the state made it easier to get a gun

permit in 1985, the number of people authorized to carry a gun in the

city has risen from 700 to 32,000.

 

 

 

The neighborhoods with the most murders tend to be the poorest. In

Milwaukee, Mallory O'Brien, an epidemiologist brought in to direct the

new homicide review commission, said suspects and victims tend to have

been born to teenage mothers. The city has one of the nation's highest

teen pregnancy rates for blacks, and among black men, one of the lowest

high school graduation rates. An industrial base that used to provide

jobs for those without a high school diploma has shrunk.

 

Chief Corwin of Kansas City said that in the hardest-hit neighborhoods,

people had explained it as a " lack of hope. " " If I don't have skills,

I

don't have training, my socioeconomic situation looks desperate, do I

really have hope? " he said. " I think that ties into the anger. If the

only thing I have is my respect, that's what I carry on the street. If

someone disrespects me, they've done the ultimate to me. "

 

Those who study crime debate whether the cities where homicide is

rising represent a trend.

 

" It's a couple of cities with bad luck and with local problems which

are very real, but not necessarily part of a national pattern, " said

Franklin E. Zimring, a law professor at Berkeley who is writing a book

on the crime drop of the late 1990's.

 

But Mr. Kennedy, at John Jay, said the decrease in homicides in big

cities has obscured the problem in many other places.

 

" In many places - both cities and increasingly suburban and rural

settings - things never got as good as they did nationally, " he said.

" Even if things got better, they didn't get as better as they did in

Los Angeles or New York. In many places, they're getting worse. "

 

Certainly, the number of homicides is lower than its peak in the early

90's - Milwaukee had 168 killings, not including Jeffrey Dahmer's

serial murders, in 1991. But the number is far higher than in recent

years, and alarming to a public that has gotten used to good news.

Boston, which peaked with 151 murders in 1990, had declined to 31 in

1999. Nashville in 2004 had its lowest homicide rate in the history of

city government, with 58 murders, before jumping to 99 last year.

 

" Because for this decade the sense is that crime is down, it's very

hard to speak out about it and not look as though you're doing

something wrong, " said Chuck Wexler, the executive director of the

Police Executive Research Forum, a research and public policy group in

Washington. " People's expectation of crime has significantly changed. "

 

In some of the cities, overall crime has declined, thanks to a

significant drop in property crimes. But the rise in homicides and

robberies causes alarm.

 

" It's hard for people to look at it in depth and understand that

they're not likely to be a victim if they get along with their family

members and neighbors and don't live a high-risk lifestyle, " said

Darrel Stephens, the police chief in Charlotte.

 

Cities say they are going after illegal guns and are trying to stop

disputes from becoming homicides. Kansas City used to investigate only

some aggravated assaults; now it follows up on all cases, on the theory

that next time, the assault might be a homicide. Boston and

Philadelphia are sweeping neighborhoods for people who have violated

warrants. In St. Louis, the police have put cameras in high-crime

neighborhoods and have sent gang units to talk to parents of

chronically truant students.

 

But recognizing that the problems have deep roots, cities are also

going beyond traditional law enforcement, trying to involve churches,

schools and social service agencies. In Boston, the neighborhood sweeps

are followed by work crews that repair potholes, trim trees and remove

graffiti.

 

Here in Milwaukee, the police are tagging " M.V.P.'s, " or major violent

players - people with several arrests, who are more likely to be

involved in arguments and homicides, according to Ms. O'Brien's

analysis. Those names are announced at daily police briefings.

 

The city has also put prosecutors and probation and parole officers on

patrol with police officers, because they have more immediate power to

rein in chronic offenders by enforcing curfew, nuisance laws, and

restrictions against alcohol or drug use and association with gang

members.

 

The homicide review commission has frequent, formal meetings with

corrections officers, prosecutors and social service agencies to

identify problem families, and is meeting with schools to assess what

they are teaching about conflict resolution and how to reduce truancy.

 

Next month, police officials say, they will have the first of several

town hall meetings with the neighborhoods with the highest homicide

rates, to get residents' ideas on how to stop the killings.

 

" We didn't get here in a day, " said Ms. O'Brien, the epidemiologist.

" There's no simple solution. "

 

 

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