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Rachel's News #864: Policy Reform

Thu, 20 Jul 2006 18:00:38 -0400

 

 

Rachel's Democracy & Health News #864

" Environment, health, jobs and justice--Who gets to decide? "

Thursday, July 20, 2006.................

 

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http://www.precaution.org/lib/06/prn_dhn060720.htm

 

www.rachel.org -- To make a secure donation,

 

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Featured stories in this issue...

 

Can State Policy Campaigns Bring Lasting Reform?

Many people have given up trying to influence Congress because they

feel powerless against Big Money. Instead, they are working to pass

state laws. Can this bring lasting success?

National Tour in September: Environmental Justice for All!

A coalition of over 70 environmental justice, social justice,

public health, human rights, and worker's rights groups will launch

the Environmental Justice for All Tour in September 2006 to

highlight the devastating impact of toxic contamination on people of

color and in poor communities across the United States.

Editorial: Another Landfill Battle Brewing in the Black Belt

Residents of one of the blackest and poorest counties in Alabama

are fighting another attempt to create a major landfill.

Precaution Training Set for Minneapolis Sept. 8-10

A precautionary principle training has been scheduled for the

Minneapolis area September 8-10, 2006. A few scholarships may still be

available. Total enrollment is limited to 15. First come, first

served.

America's Strategic Imperative: A 'Manhattan Project' for Energy

" Current energy strategy assumes that this country can meet its oil

needs by managing the oil-producing countries diplomatically and

militarily. However, this thinking overestimates the available oil

supply, ignores growing instability in the oil-producing countries,

and understates the military costs of preserving access. " Note that

this important military strategy paper does not take into account

global warming or the unsustainable nature of contemporary industrial

agriculture.

 

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Rachel's Democracy & Health News, Jul. 20, 2006

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CAN STATE POLICY CAMPAIGNS BRING LASTING REFORM?

 

By Peter Montague

 

Many people have given up trying to influence Congress because they

feel powerless against Big Money. Instead, they are working to pass

state laws. Can this succeed?

 

Traditionally, states have been " laboratories of democracy, " carrying

out unique legislative experiments. Oregon allows physicians to help

people die if they are terminally ill. New Jersey requires chemical

companies to report the amounts of certain chemicals stored on-site

(to help fire-fighters know what they're up against). California bans

the gasoline additive, MTBE, because it is contaminating California

water supplies. And so on.

 

A new trend: federal preemption

 

In the past five years, the federal government has mounted a major

campaign to cancel state and local laws. This is surprising to many

people because in early 2001 President Bush said he believed the

role of the federal government is " not to impose its will on states

and local communities. " To many, it is inconceivable that this

president would lie because he entered office on a pledge of public

morality.

 

Yet the record is clear: Since 2001 Congress has passed 29 laws

containing 39 provisions that impose the federal government's will on

the states. It's called " federal preemption. " The National Conference

of State Legislatures calls it " a disturbing and growing trend " and

has started publishing a Preemption Monitor to help states keep

track of the flood of new federal efforts to usurp power from state

and local governments.

 

In the last 5 years Congress has...

 

** Prevented California from requiring car manufacturers to sell a

certain number of electric vehicles in California;

 

** Prevented states from imposing a sales tax on internet sales;

 

** Overridden a California law that restricted the ability of banks to

sell data about their customers;

 

** Taken away states' rights to choose locations for liquefied natural

gas (LNG) plants, which are subject to catastrophic explosions;

 

** Canceled the authority of states to determine where certain power

lines can be placed;

 

** Limited the right of states and cities to file liability claims

against gun manufacturers;

 

** Overturned California's ban on the gasoline additive MTBE even

though it's contaminating the state's water supplies;

 

** Overturned state laws requiring canned tuna to be labeled with its

mercury content;

 

** And on and on...

 

In general, the beneficiaries of federal preemption have been large

corporations. Indeed, many see corporations setting the federal

preemption agenda. San Diego's conservative newspaper, the Union-

Tribune, says what we're seeing is an " industry-mapped campaign to

impose Washington's will. " California's Democratic attorney general,

Bill Lockyer says Congress simply " regurgitates what it hears from

business. " Moderate Republicans are upset by the current trend as

well. California's pro-business Republican governor, Arnold

Schwarzenegger, said recently, " Incredibly, under Republican control

of Congress, states' rights are beginning to erode again.... They are

telling us how to run state education, state health care, state

elections and even where we can locate a liquefied natural gas plant. "

 

The latest attempt by corporations and Congress to usurp state power

is HR 4591, a bill in the House of Representatives that would prevent

states from imposing their own security restrictions on chemical

plants. HR 4591 is particularly clever because its stated purpose is

to ratify a treaty that the U.S. signed years ago but has never

ratified, the Stockholm Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants,

also known as the POPs Treaty. The POPs treaty phases out a " dirty

dozen " nasty chemicals including DDT, PCBs and the pesticide

chlordane. It has already been signed by 127 other nations.

 

HR 4591 would ratify the treaty but would require it to be enforced in

a way that would gut its intended purpose. Furthermore, provisions of

HR 4591 would prevent any state from passing stricter controls than

the feds allow, treating all states as if they had the same needs. But

Wyoming and Nevada have no chemical plants, whereas New Jersey is

jammed with dangerous chemicals factories within breathing distance

of millions of people. New Jersey might want to control chemical

factories a bit more judiciously than Nevada or Wyoming. Under HR

4591, New Jersey would be out of luck. (You can tell Congress what you

think about HR4591 here.)

 

So, can citizens pass state-level laws and maintain them in the face

of federal preemption? Yes, definitely, but it will very likely take

more than just state-level campaigns. If history is any guide, we'll

also have to organize ourselves sufficiently at the grass-roots level

nationwide with the aim of overcoming corporate influence ($) and

power. Daunting? Yes. Impossible? Not on your life. One thing's sure:

it can't happen if it isn't firmly established as a goal.

 

Return to Table of Contents

 

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Riptide Communications, Jun. 26, 2006

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NATIONAL TOUR IN SEPTEMBER: ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE FOR ALL!

 

Groups to Launch National Tour to Highlight Devastating Impact of

Toxic Contamination on the Poor and People Of Color

 

Nationwide Call for Environmental Justice

 

New York -- A coalition of over 70 environmental justice, social

justice, public health, human rights, and worker's rights groups today

announced plans to launch the Environmental Justice for All Tour in

September 2006 to highlight the devastating impact of toxic

contamination on people of color and in poor communities across the

United States.

 

Three bus caravans packed with activists, health researchers,

environmental scientists, and public policy experts will tour

communities in the Northeast, South, and West Coast, where people are

suffering serious health affects associated with toxic pollution.

 

Organizers say the Tour will provide advocacy tools to affected

communities and put pressure on Congressional leaders to make the

elimination of environmental hazards a priority issue in the upcoming

elections.

 

" During this tour we will expose how industry, government, and the

military have turned the places where people live, play, work, and

pray into toxic dumping grounds, " said Dorothy Felix, a life-long

resident of Mossville, LA and member of Mossville Environmental Action

Now. " Our community and many others are organizing to bring an end to

this injustice by focusing on solutions that value and protect our

health and the health of future generations, " she added.

 

Stops along the Tour will include towns such as Mossville, LA,

Sundial, WV, and Anniston, AL, communities that have suffered

widespread and significant health effects due to the persistent

presence of industrial toxins in their air, water, and food.

 

In the African American community of Mossville, 14 industrial

facilities including an oil refinery, vinyl production facilities,

other petrochemical manufacturers, and a coal-fired power plant

operate a few yards away from some Mossville residents, and form a

cluster within one-half mile of the entire Mossville community. Local

industries have contaminated the fish and polluted lakes, bayous, and

groundwater

 

In the small West Virginia town of Sundial, Marsh Fork Elementary

School is located just 200 feet from a coal silo and 400 yards

downstream from a leaking sludge dam containing billions of gallons of

toxic sludge. The health problems are severe. Five school employees

and one 17-year old former student have all died from cancer, and 80%

of parents surveyed reported that their children suffer from health

problems such as asthma, nausea, headaches, and dizziness.Â

 

Anniston, AL is the first city in the nation where the government has

distributed gas masks to residents living near a chemical weapons

incinerator, in case of an accidental release of lethal nerve or

mustard agent. Many residents also have some of the highest-measured

levels of Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs), toxic contaminants that

have an adverse impact on the environment and have been known to cause

health problems upon exposure.

 

The Tour will also stop in Gulf Coast communities, where the combined

effects of global warming and toxic pollution are undermining the

recovery of areas destroyed during Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.

 

Each of these communities is engaged in solution-driven efforts that

draw attention to a broken US environmental protection system that

defends old polluting industries instead of requiring innovative and

safer technologies, and establishing safeguards for protecting human

health from industrial toxins and hazards.

 

The Environmental Justice for All Tour was inspired at a meeting of

environmental justice and public health groups from across the country

who joined together to draw attention to the work of local activists

in West Louisville, KY, dubbed by industry as " Rubbertown. "

 

The collaboration of these groups brought light to the one-half mile

stretch adjacent to an African American neighborhood where 12 toxic

industrial facilities have left the area polluted, and people sick and

dying.

 

Attached please find a copy of the tour routes (subject to change).

For more information about The Environmental Justice for All Tour,

visit the website at: http://www.EJ4all.org.

 

Please direct all media inquiries or requests for interviews to

Riptide Communications, Inc. in New York City: 212-260-5000.

 

Tour Routes:

 

Northeast: Buffalo, Syracuse, Endicott, NY; Hartford, New Haven, CT;

Boston, MA; New York City; Newark, Linden, Camden, NJ; Washington, DC

 

South: Port Arthur, TX; Mossville, New Orleans, LA; Gulfport, MI;

Anniston, AL; Berea, Louisville, KY; Whitesville, WV; Washington, DC

 

West Coast/California: San Francisco, Oakland, San Jose, Fort Ord,

Fresno, Central Valley, Los Angeles, San Diego

 

Contact:

 

Ateqah Khaki

Riptide Communications, Inc.

270 Lafayette St., Suite 1300

New York, New York 10012

212.260.5000

212.260.5191 fax

www.riptideonline.com

 

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Tuscaloosa (Alabama) News, Jul. 19, 2006

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EDITORIAL: ANOTHER LANDFILL BATTLE BREWING IN THE BLACK BELT

 

It looks like there's some dirty business brewing down in Lowndes

County.

 

Residents of one of the blackest and poorest counties in Alabama are

trying to fight another attempt to create a major landfill.

 

Two years ago, Lowndes residents succeeded in fighting off an effort

to build a dump just off U.S. Highway 80. Though Lowndes is poor and

has little political pull, residents mounted a powerful emotional

campaign against the proposed landfill, saying it would tarnish the

memory of Martin Luther King Jr. and those who marched with him along

U.S. 80 in 1965 in support of voting rights.

 

Faced with that kind of opposition, the owner of the site eventually

backed off.

 

That didn't deter a new venture, Alabama River Partners LLC, which is

proposing to build a complex on the Alabama River near Burkville.

 

The latest proposal has a new wrinkle. It includes a " construction and

demolition " landfill as one of the elements in a $25 million complex

that also would feature an inland port and a sand-and-gravel

operation.

 

According to the developers, the landfill would be used to bury waste

from six states, including debris from Louisiana and Mississippi

generated by last year's Hurricane Katrina.

 

Like previous developers, they are touting potential economic

benefits, including up to 75 new jobs and $750,000 annually to the

government of the economically depressed county.

 

The Lowndes County Commission will decide whether to offer them a

permit. But as badly as the county needs jobs and money, some local

leaders aren't buying the proposal.

 

" We are a poor county, and we need economic growth, but at what cost? "

asks Rick Pate, mayor of Lowndesboro. " Do we sell our future for

something that will cause problems for generations? "

 

Perhaps that's overstating the case. According to the Alabama

Department of Environmental Management, a construction and demolition

landfill could be used only for disposal of " benign " material like

lumber, leaves and construction debris.

 

However, the concern over creating a landfill in Lowndes to bury waste

hauled in from other states is understandable. Until residents learned

to resist, similar situations in the past threatened to make Alabama a

national toilet bowl.

 

The hazardous waste landfill at Emelle in Sumter County established

the template. Centered in a largely black and impoverished section of

the state, the landfill took in nearly 40 percent of the nation's

toxic waste between 1984 and 1987.

 

A construction and demolition landfill is a very different sort of

creature. But authorizing a multistate dump of any variety could mark

the beginning of a very slippery slope.

 

We like the constructive approach that U.S. Rep. Artur Davis, D-Ala.,

has taken in such controversies.

 

He says the areas targeted for landfills need to have a discussion of

environmental justice issues and develop " first principles. " The goal,

he says, should be to empower communities to be " full partners in

environmental decision making and dispel the false choice between

economic development and safe, healthy communities. "

 

We hope that's the approach the leaders in Lowndes will follow.

 

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Rachel's Precaution Reporter #47, Jul. 19, 2006

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PRECAUTION TRAINING SET FOR MINNEAPOLIS SEPT. 8-10

 

What: Minnesota Precaution Academy at the Women's Environmental

Institute at Amador Hill, North Branch, MN (about an hour north of the

Twin Cities)

 

When: September 8-10, 2006

 

Contact: Sherri Seidmon (sherri)

 

The Science and Environmental Health Network (www.sehn.org) and

Environmental Research Foundation (www.rachel.org and

www.precaution.org) have created The Precaution Academy to offer an

intensive weekend of training to prepare participants to apply

precautionary thinking to a wide range of issues in their communities

and workplaces.

 

The Academy is intended to serve the needs of community activists,

government officials, public health specialists, small business

owners, journalists, educators, and the engaged public.

 

Presenters and discussion leaders include Carolyn Raffensperger,

executive director of the Science and Environmental Health Network

(SEHN); Ted Schettler, SEHN's science director; and Peter Montague,

director of Environmental Research Foundation and an editor of

Rachel's Precaution Reporter and of Rachel's Democracy & Health News.

 

The cost of the Precaution Academy is $350, which includes hotel,

meals, and instructional materials, including SEHN's new book on the

precautionary principle.

 

Limited scholarships may be available; please inquire with Sherri

Seidmon (sherri).

 

Participation is limited to 15 people. Please check with Sherri

Seidmon (sherri) to learn whether space is available. Send

your check to Science and Environmental Health Network, P.O. Box

50733, Eugene, OR 97405

 

======================================================

 

At least two weeks prior to the date of the Academy, participants will

receive a copy of the new book, Precautionary Tools for Reshaping

Environmental Policy (MIT Press, 2006; ISBN 0-262-63323-X),

supplemented by a short workbook of articles. Academy participants are

urged to read selected portions of these materials before the session

begins on Friday evening.

 

The purpose of the Precaution Academy is:

 

** to prepare participants to apply precautionary thinking and action

to problems in their home communities and workplaces;

 

** to familiarize participants with the history of the regulatory

system, quantitative risk assessment, and the development of

precautionary thinking. What is different about the world today that

makes a precautionary approach necessary and appropriate?

 

** to clarify the different kinds of uncertainty involved in

contemporary problems and the role of precaution in addressing

uncertainty;

 

** to prepare participants to respond to criticisms of the

precautionary approach;

 

** to help participants recast and rethink familiar problems and

issues within a precautionary framework, and to explore how a

prevention philosophy differs from a problem-management philosophy;

 

** to familiarize participants with some of the many ways that

precaution is being applied in the U.S., Canada and abroad so that you

can considering trying these approaches at home.

 

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Joint Force Quarterly #39, Nov. 15, 2005

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AMERICA'S STRATEGIC IMPERATIVE: A 'MANHATTAN PROJECT' FOR ENERGY

 

By John M. Amidon

 

[We have added a few links within this article for clarification.--

Rachel's editors.]

 

The American presence in the Middle East stretches back to the closing

days of World War II, when President Franklin Roosevelt met King Saud

aboard a U.S. warship in the Suez Canal. Through the ensuing 30 years,

Washington sought to maintain oil access and contain the Soviet Union

by cultivating Persian Gulf allies. The mutually beneficial

relationship between the United States and the Middle East oil-

producing countries was forever altered by the Yom Kippur War and

the subsequent petroleum embargo. The 1973-1974 embargo highlighted

the strategic importance of the Middle East and elevated oil access to

a core national interest. The end of the Cold War and the rise of

Islamic fundamentalism further shifted the security focus from keeping

a mutual enemy, Russia, out of the region to fighting much of the war

on terror within the region.

 

Dependence on imported oil, particularly from the Middle East, has

become the elephant in the foreign policy living room, an overriding

strategic consideration composed of a multitude of issues. In the

short term, U.S. options are driven by the imperative to achieve a

favorable outcome in Iraq and Afghanistan and on other battlefields of

the war on terror, but we must also find a way to extricate ourselves

from reliance on the Middle East and other oil-producing countries.

 

Current energy strategy assumes that this country can meet its oil

needs by managing the oil-producing countries diplomatically and

militarily. However, this thinking overestimates the available oil

supply, ignores growing instability in the oil-producing countries,

and understates the military costs of preserving access.

 

Today's strategy must adopt a more realistic view of the limited

available oil and recognize the diplomatic and military costs of

obtaining it. If the strategy were to correctly estimate the remaining

supply and recognize the cost to the Nation of accessing that oil, it

would encourage users to consume less and accelerate development of

alternatives. The United States must embark on a comprehensive plan to

achieve energy independence -- a type of Manhattan Project for energy

-- to deploy as many conservation and replacement measures as

possible.

 

Current Energy Policy

 

In May 2001, the National Energy Policy Development Group published

the Administration's National Energy Policy, which states:

 

" Extraordinary advances in technology have transformed energy

exploration and production. Yet we produce 39 percent less oil today

than we did in 1970, leaving us ever more reliant on foreign

suppliers. On our present course, America 20 years from now will

import nearly 2 of every 3 barrels of oil -- a condition of increased

dependency on foreign powers that do not always have America's

interests at heart. " [1]

 

The policy calls for enhanced efficiency in existing domestic

oilfields and exploiting heretofore environmentally denied areas such

as the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR). Although increasing the

domestic fraction of our oil consumption is a worthy goal, achieving a

meaningful effect will be difficult, given that domestic production is

declining at a rate of 1.5 million barrels per day.

 

The report also urges improved conservation:

 

" A recent analysis indicates that the fuel economy of a typical

automobile could be enhanced by 60 percent by increasing engine and

transmission efficiency and reducing vehicle mass by about 15 percent.

Advanced lightweight materials offer up to 6 percent improvement in

mileage for each 10 percent reduction in body weight. "

 

The primary means of increasing automotive economy is through mandated

corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards.

 

Responsibly crafted CAFE standards should increase efficiency without

negatively impacting the U.S. automotive industry. The determination

of future fuel economy standards must therefore be addressed

analytically and based on sound science.

 

Taken in whole, the National Energy Policy does not offer a compelling

solution to the growing danger of foreign oil dependence. The 2004

Department of Energy budget for all types of renewable energy totaled

$1.3 billion, increasing just 0.1 percent from 2002 to 2004, while

lagging the entire Department of Energy budget, which increased 5.9

percent. Even if ANWR were fully exploited, proven reserves total

about 7.7 billion barrels of recoverable oil, enough to supply the

Nation for just over a year. Although the National Energy Policy sets

forth a range of conservation and alternative technologies, no

meaningful fiscal policy steps have been taken to bring them to the

fore.

 

Dwindling Global Supply

 

In 1956, geophysicist M. King Hubbert pioneered a model for

petroleum extraction known as Hubbert's curve. It predicts that early

in the life of an oilfield, production will increase rapidly due to

infrastructure growth. The field will reach a point where production

peaks and, barring new discoveries, no addition of technology will

yield further gains. Thus, " Hubbert's peak " marks the onset of

decline, a trend that accelerates as the cost of further extraction

approaches the commercial value of each barrel pumped.

 

In many " easy " oil instances, the oil is actually pressurized coming

out of the ground, reminiscent of the gushers seen in Hollywood

movies. In an oilfield with this so-called high lift, the price of oil

at the wellhead is less than $5.00. Post-wellhead costs are added

through royalties, transportation, refining, delivery, and profit. As

more oil is extracted, it becomes necessary to pump the oil from the

ground; thus the wellhead price rises through the life of an oilfield.

Eventually, the cost of extracting the next barrel of oil exceeds the

oil's market value, and the well is capped.

 

Hubbert based his model on oil production within the lower 48 states,

the region where oil was first commercially exploited on a large

scale. He predicted that within a given oilfield, the peak in new

discoveries would be followed within a few years by a peak in

production, and then decline. He also postulated that peak production

would occur when approximately half of the total reserves in a given

area were depleted. Hubbert forecast in 1956 that lower-48 oil

production would reach its maximum about 1970, which has proved true.

 

The United Kingdom's portion of the North Sea oilfields reveals a

similar pattern. These fields reached their Hubbert's peak in 1999 and

are now in decline, with production expected to cease after 2020.

 

Hubbert's concepts might be applied to global oil production as well.

Prior to 2000, the majority of studies projected an ultimate

recoverable supply of 2 trillion barrels of oil. In 2000, the U.S.

Geological Survey (USGS) forecast a 50 percent increase in estimated

world reserves to 3.003 trillion barrels. As soon as it was published,

the study came under fire for what many considered optimistic

assumptions. Discounting the USGS results, there has historically been

broad agreement that the world's ultimate oil supply equaled

approximately 2 trillion barrels. In one recent study, the average

estimate of 76 studies works out to be 1,930 billion barrels, of which

920 billion (48 percent) have been consumed.

 

Today, the oil supply prediction camp is divided among the optimists,

represented by organizations such as the USGS, and pessimists such as

the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas. The optimists agree

that Hubbert's peak is coming but will not occur until 2021 at the

earliest and 2112 at the latest, with 2037 as the median date. The

pessimists believe the USGS study was based on speculative methodology

and the peak is as close as 2007. The pessimists cite the growing gap

between discovery and production. They say that if the USGS

predictions are accurate, the annual discovery rate between 1995 and

2025 needs to average 21.6 billion new barrels. New global oil

discoveries over the last 12 years have averaged 7.4 billion barrels

annually, far below both USGS predictions and global consumption,

which averaged 28 billion barrels a year for the same period. Since

1980, more oil has been extracted than has been offset by new

discoveries.

 

America's Fragile Oil Lifeline

 

Most of the world's so-called easy oil has already been discovered or

extracted, leaving the bulk of the undiscovered or unexploited oil in

deep water, or other isolated locales far from transportation

infrastructure and markets. The most promising possibilities for

discovery are in the Caspian Basin and Russia, areas torn by strife

and instability. A prediction of future oil production patterns

(produced by the pessimists) forecasts a peak in global oil production

in approximately 2007.

 

Since the USGS report of 2000, most studies have distanced themselves

from its numbers. A summer 2004 report by BP-AMOCO estimated the

remaining oil supply at 1,147.8 barrels,[2] a figure in close

agreement with the estimate of the U.S. Energy Information Agency,

1,266 billion barrels.[3] These studies buttress the view that we are

approaching worldwide peak oil production.

 

Although the pessimists offer a convincing argument presaging a peak

in global oil production, what if they are wrong? What if technology

and discovery can delay it far into the 21st century? Assuming the oil

is available somewhere on the globe, can we reliably deliver it here?

During 2003, the United States averaged imports of 12.2 million

barrels per day, representing 62 percent of its total oil demand. Much

of this imported oil comes from politically volatile parts of the

world.

 

Saudi Arabia has the world's largest oil reserve, estimated at 250

billion barrels (Gb).[4] Peak Saudi production will not occur until

2020; thus Saudi Arabia will remain " the indispensable nation of oil. "

Saudi Arabia is ruled as a feudal monarchy, with absolute authority

held by the descendants of Abd al-Aziz ibn Saud, who rose to power in

1932. Its vast oil wealth masks a nation with pressing demographic and

political problems. More than half of all Saudis are under 18 years of

age. This group is plagued by limited educational opportunities and

high unemployment, factors that have made Saudi Arabia fertile ground

for religious extremism. The official state religion is Wahhabism, an

inimical form of Islam that is the philosophical antecedent for Osama

bin Laden and his followers. The government has taken steps to

eliminate terrorist funding and curtail al Qaeda recruitment within

the kingdom; however, the long-term prognosis for success is not

clear. In the meantime, Saudi Arabia remains the linchpin of U.S.

energy security even though it is beset by political tension, internal

dissent, and a looming demographic crisis.

 

Mexico is tied to the U.S. economy through the North American Free

Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which has been a mixed blessing for Mexicans.

Although elimination of all trade barriers led to a flood of foreign

investment and industrialization during the 1990s, many of these jobs

have since moved to even lower wage countries. NAFTA was championed as

a solution for emigration problems, but Mexicans continue to migrate

north in search of employment and higher wages. A legacy of political

corruption, high unemployment, and the corrosive effects of a

burgeoning narcoeconomy represent great challenges.

 

Mexico has made no major oil discovery since 1980. The pessimists

estimate that Mexico has approximately 22 billion barrels (Gb) of oil

remaining. Production will peak around 2015. Although Mexico is

currently a net oil exporter, growing domestic consumption will exceed

production by 2010, closing the Mexican spigot as a source of oil for

the United States.

 

The Venezuelan oil industry was born in 1866, only 7 years after

production began in the United States. Venezuela used this leadership

in 1960 to midwife the birth of the Organization of Petroleum

Exporting Countries (OPEC), going on to nationalize Venezuelan

resources in 1976.[5] The country's history has been characterized by

revolution, counterrevolution, and dictatorship. The latest chapter

began with the election of Hugo Chavez in 1998. Although Chavez came

to power as a populist reformer, an 18 percent contraction in the

economy and his dictatorial practices triggered a national work

stoppage in 2002, slowing oil production to a trickle.

 

Venezuela possesses about 50 Gb of conventional oil reserves, with

exploitation having peaked around 2003. Venezuela also has a vast

reserve of heavier oils, estimated as high as 1,200 Gb, which equals

the entire conventional reserve remaining worldwide. The greatest

barrier to exploiting this resource has been the low recovery rate of

useable oil (10-15 percent) and the high front-end cost. In the early

1990s, the government set the exploitation tax at 1 percent in an

effort to draw the massive foreign investment required to bring heavy

oils on-line. In October 2004, Chavez raised these tax rates to 16

percent to correct " foreign domination mechanisms. " [6] Low internal

consumption will place Venezuela at the forefront as a U.S. energy

source for decades. But access will hinge on the policies of Hugo

Chavez and his successors.

 

Nigeria was a British colony until it gained independence in 1960.

Between 1966 and 1999, it was ruled by a series of military

governments and torn by ethnic civil war and religious strife. Nearly

2 million perished from violence, hunger, and disease. Nigeria today

is ruled by a democratically elected government, which has a well-

deserved reputation for corruption. " For decades, powerful elites in

the capital of Abuja have monopolized the allocation of petroleum

revenues, providing relatively little to the ethnic minorities of the

Niger Delta region, where most of the oil is buried. These minorities

have grown increasingly dissatisfied and have launched armed attacks

on oil facilities, causing a sharp drop in exports. " [7] Nigeria

retains substantial oil resources, estimated by the pessimists at 40

Gb, with a production peak forecast for approximately 2009.[8]

 

====================================================

 

Table 1: Military Subsidies to Price of Gasoline at the Pump

 

Costs of Middle-east Operations and 9/11:

 

Total Cost of Gulf War I: $300 billion

 

Annual peacetime force structure cost for units tasked for the Middle

East ($60 billion x 13 years): $780 billion

 

Annual cost of no-fly-zone enforcement and deployed Army forces in

Kuwait, 1991-2002 ($15.38 billion x 11 years): $168.3 billion

 

Economic cost to the U.S. economy of the 9/11 attacks: $585.2 billion

 

Cost of operations in Iraq (based on substantial withdrawal in 2008):

$308.9 billion

 

Cost of Operation Enduring Freedom and follow-on operations in

Afghanistan ($1.68 billion/month in 2002 + $1.1 billion/month,

2003-2004): $45.6 billion

 

Uzbekistan aid and airfield access payments, 2002: $0.320 billion

 

Uzbekistan aid and airfield access payments, 2003-2004: $0.357 billion

 

Foreign aid to Pakistan, 2002: $0.696 billion

 

Foreign aid to Pakistan, 2003-2004: $1.2 billion

 

Kyrgyzstan foreign aid and airfield access: $0.500 billion

 

Foreign aid to Tajikistan: $0.563 billion

 

Foreign aid to Turkmenistan: $0.274 billion

 

Total U.S. gasoline consumption, 1991-2004 (gal.): $1,716.96 billion

 

Hidden fuel price subsidy at the pump (cost of Middle east

operations/total consumption): $1.276 per gallon

 

Sources of data provided on pg. 71 here.

 

====================================================

 

During 2003, the worldwide oil industry produced an average of 68

million barrels per day, with every producer but Saudi Arabia

operating at maximum capacity. Saudi excess oil production capacity

currently stands at less than 1 million barrels per day, a 0.7 percent

world production capacity cushion. The continued viability of the U.S.

energy lifeline hangs on political and economic stability in nations

such as Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and Nigeria. Interruption of oil

production in any of the teetering countries described here would

trigger immediate price rises and economic dislocation. The

simultaneous loss of several oil-producing nations due to boycott,

sabotage, or war would be an economic catastrophe.

 

The Military Challenge

 

Military operations to ensure energy access and price stability have

added an invisible subsidy to the true cost of imported oil. From 1991

to 2004, the average cost of a gallon of unleaded gas at a U.S. pump

was as high as $2.28. When the $2.2 trillion cost of 9/11 and all

Middle East/Central Asia operations since Desert Shield are factored

into the 1.71 trillion gallons American consumers have used since

1991, the cost at the pump rises to $3.56 per gallon (see table). The

current energy strategy understates these costs of seeking energy

security through military action. The invisible hand of market forces,

which should trigger oil conservation at a price of $3.56 per gallon,

has been disrupted by the externalized military cost.

 

Future military efforts to secure the oil supply pose tremendous

challenges due to the number of potential crisis areas. Besides the

nations already mentioned, the bulk of the world's oil reserve is

concentrated in the Middle East and Central Asia. In order of proven

resources, these countries are Iraq, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates,

Iran, Russia, and the nations surrounding the Caspian Basin. This

region, especially the Arab nations, has been referred to as the

" gap, " an area characterized by poverty, disorder, and social

upheaval.

 

The Middle East is faced with explosive population growth. By 2020

this area's population is projected to pass 800 million, a 30 percent

increase. This surge will place huge strains on already struggling

governments and provide a ready source of recruits for grievance

organizations such as al Qaeda, for whom dissatisfied young males have

been described as a center of gravity.

 

The last oil frontier lies around the Caspian Sea. Although previous

estimates placed its oil resources as high as 110 Gb, further

exploration has lowered expectations to 17-33 Gb, well below those of

Iraq or Kuwait, but still substantial. Over the long term, natural gas

may prove the most valuable resource there.[9] Four of the six Caspian

Sea states are former Soviet republics and are eager to free

themselves of all vestiges of Russian domination. Only two of the

four, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, have significant oil resources.

Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan can only hope to enjoy economic benefits

through pipeline transit fees. All existing and proposed Caspian

pipelines pass through some of the world's most war-torn real estate,

including a proposed pipeline across Afghanistan.

 

The bulk of demand during the next decade will come from Asia. " In

1993, after decades of self-sufficiency, Chinese domestic oil

production could no longer satisfy demand, which had shot up because

of the country's extraordinary economic growth. Since then, China has

imported more oil every year, from 6.4 percent of its consumption in

1993, to 31 percent in 2002, to a projected 60 percent by 2020. " [10]

The Asia-Pacific region's dependence on Middle East oil may exceed 90

percent by 2010.

 

Military and economic efforts to expand oil access in the Caspian

Basin, like our actions over the past 60 years in the Persian Gulf,

could bring the United States into conflict with energy-hungry

regional powers such as China and India. Played out far from

traditional U.S. supply lines, clashes would minimize our advantages

in naval and air power and depend largely on ground forces and

asymmetric warfare.

 

The world energy delivery system is incredibly fragile. This

vulnerability creates a vast universe of options for hostile nations,

terrorists, and antiglobalists to create mischief by sabotage,

destruction of key facilities, or interdicting transportation

bottlenecks. The giant Ras Tanura loading facility in Saudi Arabia

processes half of all Saudi production and thus a tenth of all global

production each day. An attack on it could take half of Saudi oil off

the market for at least 6 months, triggering a worldwide economic

catastrophe. " Such an attack would be more economically damaging than

a dirty nuclear bomb set off in midtown Manhattan or across from the

White House in Lafayette Square. " [11]

 

Energy Consumption Patterns

 

Petroleum provides nearly 40 percent of all energy used in the United

States, a share that is forecast to rise over the next 20 years.

Increasing reliance on oil coupled with declining domestic production

will trigger increasing demand for foreign oil. Today, imports

comprise 62 percent of total petroleum consumption, predicted to rise

to 70 percent by 2025.

 

The main users of petroleum are the transportation and industrial

sectors. Oil provides 95 percent of the energy for transportation and

20 percent for the industrial sector. Recognition that world oil

supplies have reached Hubbert's peak will have major implications in

the industrial world. Worldwide consumption is rising 3 percent

annually, with the greatest growth in China. The oil energy industry

generates annual revenues of $2.1 trillion. Most transportation

technologies have useful lifetimes of 15 years or more. Transition to

alternative technologies could thus render part or all of this

investment worthless and will not be undertaken until the economic

arguments are unimpeachable. Although rising prices and sagging

supplies will eventually produce clear incentives to conserve and

deploy alternative energy sources, in many cases these signals may not

arrive until very late in the supply collapse, minimizing time for

classic economic incentives to act.

 

The first barrier to solving this problem lies in public and

policymaker perceptions. Oil price shocks and fluctuations have been

common since 1974, but each time the warnings proved false. For that

reason alone, it may prove difficult to convince the public and

policymakers that an era of permanently limited oil supplies has

arrived. Predicting the shape of the post-peak supply is also hard.

Although Hubbert's theory depicted a symmetrical curve of growing and

then shrinking production, the actual production pattern is highly

dependent on the geology of individual oil fields and the level of

investment in production technology. Further, some portion of the

production shortfall may be offset by conservation and increased use

of other fuels such as natural gas, oil sands, coal gasification, and

synthetic oil. During World War II, German engineers discovered that

synthetic oils manufactured from coal become viable substitutes at a

cost of around $60 per barrel. The shape of the peak and the impact of

" swing " fuels such as synthetic oil are difficult to predict. However,

the key fact to remember is that none of these replacement

technologies will happen overnight; rather, they will be the result of

deliberate policy and investment decisions with lead times that may

approach a decade.

 

Before discussing what will work, let us remind ourselves of what will

not work. Developing additional resources offshore or in the Arctic

will not provide the long-term solution. Oil economics have supplied

great incentives to discover more sources over the past decade.

Despite these incentives and ever more sophisticated technology, new

discoveries are not keeping pace with consumption. Alaskan production

at Prudhoe Bay peaked in 1988. The much-touted ANWR is estimated to

contain about 7.7 billion barrels of recoverable oil, enough to supply

the United States just over a year. Although tar sands and heavy oil

hold promise, their economics and energy balance are daunting at best.

In sum, trying to drill our way out of this crisis will not address

the real problem, which is soaring demand and the danger of military

conflict over shrinking resources.

 

Phase I: Conservation

 

A national energy plan along the lines of the historic Manhattan

Project is needed now. America faces a strategic imperative to

decisively deploy a range of solutions, both interim and permanent, to

address energy security. Such an effort might consist of two phases:

conservation and the energy power shift.

 

The U.S. fuel savings record is not impressive. The aftermath of the

19731974 oil embargo saw the establishment of Government-mandated

automotive mileage standards. By 1985, the average fuel economy of the

U.S. fleet had risen from 12.9 to 27 miles per gallon (MPG) to 27 MPG.

However, since 1985, these gains have remained largely static as

economy targets remained unchanged. Improved fuel economy has been

thwarted by the policy decision to set separate lower economy

standards for trucks. The growing percentage of lower-economy trucks

has led to a decline in the overall economy of the automotive fleet.

 

Even at $2.25 per gallon, there are few incentives for Americans to

conserve. At this price level, the annual penalty of driving a gas-

guzzling sports utility vehicle (SUV) instead of a more economical

four-door car is about $500 per year. The dearth of economic

incentives coupled with gas prices considerably lower than the highly

taxed Europeans pay means that oil consumption per dollar of GDP is

now more than 40 percent higher than in Germany and France.

 

Hybrid automobiles. Hybrids are a revolution in automotive design that

combines a conventional gas engine with an electric motor. There are

three hybrid cars and three hybrid trucks among the 2005 model year

offerings. The three cars, all from Japanese automakers, average over

50 MPG and are mature designs of considerable research and

engineering. Replacing every vehicle with a high mileage hybrid would

cut consumption in half, nearly eliminating the need for imported oil.

Improving the average fuel efficiency of the entire car fleet by just

5.3 miles per gallon could displace all Persian Gulf imports.[12]

 

Ethanol-based fuels. Expanding production of ethanol alcohol offers a

means of replacing imported oil with a domestic agricultural product.

All current automobiles can operate on fuels up to 15 percent ethanol.

Flexible fuel vehicles (FFV) are designed to operate on mixed fuels up

to E85, a mixture of 15 percent gasoline and 85 percent ethanol. Over

4 million automobiles on the road are factory-equipped to use E85

fuels. Retrofit to FFV capability is a straightforward process that

costs about $50 per vehicle.

 

Ethanol-augmented fuels are available mainly in the Midwest, where

ethanol is made using a corn-based fermentation process. Today, 81

plants around the country are manufacturing corn ethanol with a

capacity of 3.4 billion gallons per year; 15 plants under construction

will add a further 670 million gallons per year. Corn ethanol critics

observe that it takes more energy (in the form of fertilizers, farm

machinery, processing into ethanol, and so forth) to grow the corn and

distill the ethanol than is available in the final product. The corn

ethanol production chain is dominated by corporate producers who have

mobilized substantial political support for a corn ethanol tax subsidy

regime of $1.4 billion per year.

 

Corn is a poor choice for ethanol feedstock since it is the most

irrigation and fertilizer-intensive crop grown in the United States,

and corn used for ethanol drives cattle feed prices higher, creating

hidden costs at the grocery store. Although a nascent corn ethanol

industry has developed, future expansion should be discouraged through

a removal of the tax regime. Unsubsidized corn ethanol actually costs

$2.24 per gallon to produce, making it uneconomical except in times of

very high oil prices.[13]

 

The biorefinery and cellulosic ethanol. Instead of valuable corn, the

biorefinery produces ethanol using the starches and cellulose present

in agricultural waste and byproducts such as corn stalks, rice straw,

paper mill waste, recycled urban waste, and dedicated woody stemmed

crops.[14] Many of these sources of cellulosic ethanol are considered

negative-cost feed stocks, meaning they have no food value and farmers

must pay for their disposal. This gives cellulosic ethanol a much

higher net energy balance than corn-based ethanol. Studies at

candidate biorefinery sites in Indiana and Nebraska found that

collocating ethanol biorefineries with existing power plants would

allow production for $1.05/gallon to $1.60/gallon depending on the

biomass selected. Cellulosic ethanol offers great promise for rural

areas that have seen considerable depopulation due to modern farming

methods.

 

" One cellulose ethanol plant would enhance energy security by

replacing crude oil imports of 2.4 to 2.9 million barrels per year;

increase farm income by $25 million per year by creating economic

value for residues that currently have little to no value or are

simply viewed as waste; create economic development by creating over

1,000 new jobs during peak construction, and almost 200 new permanent

jobs and about 450 spin-off jobs. " [15]

 

Biorefineries also hold great promise for urban areas. A typical large

city has a substantial surplus of yard waste and wood debris, products

that can no longer be deposited in landfills. New York and

Philadelphia pay $150 per ton to dispose of municipal solid waste.

Creating a simple urban wood recycling routine of household recycling

bins would ensure a steady biomass supply and strengthen the economics

of urban biorefineries through proximity to markets. Building an urban

biorefinery in the hundred largest metropolitan areas could produce 7

billion gallons of ethanol a year, offsetting imported oil by 5

percent while helping solve urban waste problems.

 

The biorefinery is not a fanciful dream. In 1975, Brazil initiated a

domestic ethanol program based on sugar cane waste. Over its 30-year

life, the ethanol industry has produced $50 billion worth of ethanol

while supporting 700,000 Brazilian jobs. Electricity cogenerated at

biorefineries provides 9 percent of national requirements. Ethanol

supports a fourth of domestic petroleum demand and can be priced more

cheaply than gasoline.[16] According to testimony in the Senate,

sufficient cellulosic biomass is available in the United States right

now to displace up to 10 percent of today's oil imports.[17]

 

The first step of implementation will be to emplace economic

incentives to conserve fuel. New hybrid vehicles enjoy a tax credit of

$1,500, which is due to expire in 2006. This program must be expanded,

and although taxation and incentives are anathema to many politicians,

a cost-neutral regime that taxes production and purchase of low

economy models and rebates for purchase of hybrids and FFVs must be

imposed.

 

The second step is to resume increasing the CAFE fleet fuel economy

requirement. The requirement has remained static at 27.5 MPG since

1985, while light trucks and SUVs have essentially received a free

ticket. The CAFE fuel economy requirement must resume its move upward

in a fashion that produces sound public policy outcomes without

exceeding the engineering capability of the automotive industry. The

SUV and light truck requirement, set at 20.7 MPG, needs a realistic

economic target that balances the needs of the consumer with national

energy security.

 

Step three institutes a crash program to build cellulosic ethanol

facilities. Placement studies for ethanol plants designed to consume a

mixture of agricultural wastes and grain have estimated a construction

cost of $27 million to build a facility capable of producing up to 15

million gallons of ethanol per year. At a proposed site in North

Dakota, suitable agricultural waste and inconsumable grain are already

available to produce 12.5 million gallons of ethanol a year at no

cost. Many potential sites could solve existing waste disposal

problems, exploiting negative-cost biomass to turn waste into

treasure. National Renewable Energy Lab studies show that an

investment of $31 billion would build 225 plants capable of producing

enough ethanol to replace over 10 percent of gasoline consumption.

 

Farmers need incentives to grow energy crops such as switchgrass, a

native plant that does not require fertilizer or irrigation. It is

estimated that 15 percent of the North American continent consists of

land that is unsuitable for food farming but workable for switchgrass

cultivation. " If all that land was planted with switchgrass, we could

replace every single gallon of gas consumed in the United States with

ethanol. " [18] Farm policies that encourage energy crop plantations are

crucial for creating a firm supply base for cellulosic ethanol.

 

Expanded use of hybrid cars and biorefineries provides an interim

strategy that enhances energy security while smoothing the transition

to the next phase of an energy Manhattan Project, the " Energy Power

Shift, " [19] a move to emerging transportation technologies that offer

permanent energy security.

 

Phase II: The Energy Power Shift

 

Although the " hydrogen economy " is widely cited in political

discourse, its practicality is doubtful. Proponents cite the vast

renewable energy from wind, solar, and biomass sources. Massive wind

farms, occupying merely a portion of the Dakotas, could theoretically

produce sufficient hydrogen through electrolysis to power all domestic

transportation needs. Although it is possible to produce hydrogen in

this fashion, storing, transporting, and distributing it to markets is

problematic. Waiting to transition to the hydrogen economy ignores

proven and inexpensive good technology in favor of unproven and costly

perfect technology. Instead of hydrogen, phase II should focus on

plug-in hybrid vehicles and optimizing the biorefinery concept.

 

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). The next evolutionary step

from the Toyota Prius, PHEVs use the same principle as today's hybrid

with the addition of a larger battery and a 120 volt electric wall

plug. The PHEV charges its battery at night from the wall socket or

even while parked at work. The enlarged battery is capable of driving

the PHEV entirely electrically below 35 miles per hour (mph) for about

60 miles, well within the typical commuting range. When the PHEV is

driven faster than 35 mph or beyond 60 miles, the conventional motor

picks up the load. Fully operational prototypes have already been

built using modified Toyota Priuses. These existing PHEVs average up

to 180 MPG in typical commuter profiles since most driving is done in

electric-only mode. The energy-per-mile cost of electricity is a third

the cost of gasoline. PHEVs transfer a large portion of the

transportation energy bill to the electric grid, whose capacity is

underused at night and can grow through the addition of existing and

proven renewable energy technologies such as wind, solar, and

distributed fuel cells.

 

Improved biorefinery. The centerpiece of the second pillar of phase

II, improved biorefinery, is the thermal conversion process (TCP), by

which the geological conditions that produce oil are recreated. A

technology demonstration plant in Carthage, Missouri, is producing 500

barrels of oil a day using turkey manure, bones, paper products, wood,

municipal waste, and sewage. The TCP produces usable oil at a cost of

40 cents per gallon using landfill waste as a feedstock.

 

Although the steps outlined in phase I will offer breathing space

against the demise of the oil-based economy, rising demand and falling

production suggest that a transition to phase II must be defined,

capitalized, and executed with rigor. The 2005 Department of Energy

budget earmarks $2.5 billion for all categories of energy research.

Given that the United States has spent $2.2 trillion over the past 14

years seeking energy security through military action, $50 billion

spent to accelerate the arrival of PHEVs, TCP biorefineries, or other

as-yet-undefined technology would seem a policy decision ranking with

Thomas Jefferson's Louisiana Purchase.

 

An ancillary bonus -- clean air. Environmentalists have championed

many of the above ideas for years but have been largely ignored or

grudgingly placated with half-measures. Until now, economic

considerations have trumped many of the environmentalists' arguments

as cheap gas and lack of government commitment knocked the props out

from under the green platform. The Manhattan Project for energy would

provide an ideal convergence of interests, bringing the economist,

diplomat, soldier, and environmentalist under the same tent. In

addition to girding energy security, PHEVs and TCP biorefineries offer

dramatic improvements in the pollution impact of the transportation

sector by either eliminating noxious byproducts entirely or

transferring to less polluting energy sources.

 

America's Strategic Imperative

 

The current world energy situation poses a national threat

unparalleled in 225 years. The economy, particularly the

transportation component, has become heavily dependent on foreign oil.

Concurrent with rising demand are indications that world production

may soon peak, followed by permanent decline and shortage. Moreover,

most of the remaining oil is concentrated in distant, politically

hostile locations, inviting interdiction by enemies.

 

Over the last 60 years, policymakers have repeatedly applied

diplomatic and military triage to the problem of national energy

security while generally ignoring the economic prospects for a

solution. Today, the Nation is engaged in a global war on terror

throughout the same resource-rich area on which the safety of its

economy hinges. Economic stagnation or catastrophe lurk close at hand,

to be triggered by another embargo, collapse of the Saudi monarchy, or

civil disorder in any of a dozen nations. Barring these events, rising

world demand and falling production could place the United States in

direct military competition with equally determined nations. It is

doubtful that any military, even that of a global hegemon, could

secure an oil lifeline indefinitely. Failing to take urgent economic

steps now will necessitate more painful economic steps later and

likely require protracted military action.

 

Meeting this dilemma with a technical solution plays on America's

greatest strengths, those of the inventor and the innovator. Rapid

execution of a two-phase Manhattan Project for energy will provide

near-term relief measures while laying the foundation for the long-

term establishment of an " Energy Power Shift " economy. Reduced

dependence on imported oil would also allow the Nation to pursue a

more pragmatic foreign policy, freed of the necessity to engage in all

episodes of Middle East or OPEC history. This strategy denies al Qaeda

and its allies a key argument in their war against the United States;

reducing the strategic importance of the Middle East will obviate the

need for " us " to be " there " and diminish the cultural friction between

Muslims and the West. Absent the plausible charge that the U.S. role

in the Middle East is motivated solely by oil, U.S. efforts to nurture

democracy, and local perception of those efforts, could result in a

new era of good will. Although this problem is daunting, it is not

unsolvable; instead, it demands prompt and certain action to ensure an

energy-rich and peaceful future.

 

" When you are drifting down the stream of Niagara, it may easily

happen that from time to time you run into a reach of quite smooth

water, or that a bend in the river or a change in the wind may make

the roar of the falls seem far more distant. But your hazard and your

preoccupation are in no way affected thereby. " [20] --Winston Churchill

 

==============

 

Lieutenant Colonel John M. Amidon, USAF, wrote this article as a

student at the Air War College. Joint Force Quarterly, or JFQ, is

published for the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, by the Institute

for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, to

promote understanding of the integrated employment of land, sea, air,

space, and special operations forces. The journal focuses on joint

doctrine, coalition warfare, contingency planning, combat operations

conducted by the unified commands, and joint force development.

 

NOTES

 

[1] National Energy Policy Development Group, National Energy Policy,

May 2001, available at www.whitehouse.gov/energy/.

 

[2] BP-AMOCO, BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2004,

accessed at www.bp.com.

 

[3] Guy Caruso, U.S. Oil Markets and the Middle East (Washington, DC:

U.S. Department of Energy, October 20, 2004).

 

[4] " Country Assessment: Saudi Arabia, " Association for the Study of

Peak Oil Newsletter 21 (Cork, Ireland: 2002).

 

[5] " Country Assessment: Venezuela, " Association for the Study of Peak

Oil Newsletter 22 (Cork, Ireland: 2002).

 

[6] Iain Bruce, " Venezuela Raises Oil Drilling Tax, " BBC News World

Edition, October 11, 2004.

 

[7] Michael T. Klare, " Growing Militarization of Our Oil Dependence, "

The Boston Globe, October 12, 2004.

 

[8] " Country Assessment: Nigeria, " Association for the Study of Peak

Oil Newsletter (Cork, Ireland: 2003).

 

[9] U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Agency, Country

Analysis Briefs: Caspian Sea Region (Washington, DC: Department of

Energy, June 2004).

 

[10] Institute for the Analysis of Global Security, Energy Security in

East Asia, August 13, 2004, available at www.iags.org/

n0813042.htm.

 

[11] Gal Luft and Anne Korin, " Terror's Next Target, " The Journal of

International Security Affairs (December 2003), available at

www.iags.org/n0111041.htm.

 

[12] Rocky Mountain Institute, Fuel Supplies and Security (Snowmass,

CO: Rocky Mountain Institute, 2004), available at

www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid405.php.

 

[13] David Pimentel, " Ethanol Fuels: Energy Balance, Economics, and

Environmental Impacts Are Negative, " Natural Resources Research 2

(June 2003).

 

[14] BC International Corporation, Ethanol From Biomass Process,

November 13, 2004, available at www.bcintlcorp.com/technology.htm.

 

[15] U.S. Senate, Proceedings and Debates of the 108th Congress, 2d

Session, September 15, 2004.

 

[16] Amory B. Lovins et al., Winning the Oil Endgame (Aspen, CO: Rocky

Mountain Institute, 2005).

 

[17] U.S. Senate, cited above.

 

[18] Sam Jaffe, " Independence Way, " The Washington Monthly

(July/August 2004),18.

 

[19] Barry J. Hanson, Energy Power Shift: Benefiting from Today's New

Technologies (Maple, WI: Lakota Scientific Press, 2004).

 

[20] William Manchester, The Last Lion: Winston Spencer Churchill

Alone: 1932-1940 (New York: Little, Brown and Co., 1988), 198.

 

Return to Table of Contents

 

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Rachel's Democracy & Health News (formerly Rachel's Environment &

Health News) highlights the connections between issues that are

often considered separately or not at all.

 

The natural world is deteriorating and human health is declining

because those who make the important decisions aren't the ones who

bear the brunt. Our purpose is to connect the dots between human

health, the destruction of nature, the decline of community, the

rise of economic insecurity and inequalities, growing stress among

workers and families, and the crippling legacies of patriarchy,

intolerance, and racial injustice that allow us to be divided and

therefore ruled by the few.

 

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As you come across stories that might help people connect the dots,

please Email them to us at dhn.

 

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