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2004 Evidence of growing change .

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ANYONE SEE THE MOVIE " THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW "

>Tue, 03 Feb 2004 23:35:47 -0500

>climate-watch

>The Havens <thehavens

>Evidence of growing change .

>

>

>CLIMATE COLLAPSE

>Growing Evidence of Scary Change

>By David Stipp

>http://www.fortune.com/fortune/technology/articles/0,15114,582593,00.h

>tml

>

>Scientists used to think that major climate changes, like the onset of

>an ice age, took thousands of years to unfold. Now they know such

>dramatic transitions can occur in less than a decade. The probable

>trigger of abrupt climate changes, at least in the Northern

>Hemisphere, is the shutdown of a huge ocean current in the Atlantic

>Ocean. The current is driven by dense, salty water that flows north

>from the tropics and sinks in the North Atlantic. If fresh water is

>pumped into the northerly part of the current--which can occur as

>global warming melts Arctic ice--its salinity drops, making it less

>dense. This diminishing density can prevent the water from sinking in

>the North Atlantic, stopping the current's flow. Much of Europe and

>the U.S. could become colder and drier if that happened.

>

>Many details of this big picture remain hazy, including whether recent

>global warming threatens to shut down the Atlantic current. But over

>the past few years, scientists have detected disquieting trends:

>

>* In tandem with rising average temperatures across the globe, 3% to

> 4% of the Arctic ice cap has melted per decade since about 1970.

>

>* Recently the Arctic's largest ice shelf broke up near Canada's

>Ellesmere Island, releasing an ice-dammed freshwater lake into the

>ocean. (Scientists believe that the similar melting of an Arctic

>ice dam 8,200 years ago triggered an episode of abrupt climate

>change.)

>

>* The North Atlantic's salinity has declined continuously for the

>past 40 years--the most dramatic oceanic change ever measured.

>

>* The flow of cold, dense water through a North Atlantic channel near

>Norway--part of the great ocean current that warms northern Europe

>--has dropped by at least 20% since 1950, suggesting that the current

>is weakening.

>

>Scientists still don't know whether a climate disaster is on the

>way. But taken together, these changes appear strikingly similar to

>ones that preceded abrupt climate shifts in the past. Many researchers

>now believe the salient question about such change is not " Could it

>happen? " but " When? "

>

>

> From the Feb. 9, 2004 Issue

 

******

Kraig and Shirley Carroll ... in the woods of SE Kentucky

http://www.thehavens.com/

thehavens

606-376-3363

 

 

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