Bush administration finalizes military attack on Iran.

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Tue, 3 Jan 2006 07:50:22 -0800 (PST)

WMR-Bush administration finalizes military attack on Iran.

 

 

 

http://www.waynemadsenreport.com/

 

 

 

January 2, 2006 --

 

Intelligence indications and warnings abound as Bush administration

finalizes military attack on Iran.

 

 

Intelligence and military sources in the United States and abroad are

reporting on various factors that indicate a U.S. military hit on

Iranian nuclear and military installations, that may involve tactical

nuclear weapons, is in the final stages of preparation. Likely targets

for saturation bombing are the Bushehr nuclear power plant (where

Russian and other foreign national technicians are present), a uranium

mining site in Saghand near the city of Yazd, the uranium enrichment

facility in Natanz, a heavy water plant and radioisotope facility in

Arak, the Ardekan Nuclear Fuel Unit, the Uranium Conversion Facility

and Nuclear Technology Center in Isfahan, the Tehran Nuclear

Research Center, the Tehran Molybdenum, Iodine and Xenon Radioisotope

Production Facility, the Tehran Jabr Ibn Hayan Multipurpose

Laboratories, the Kalaye Electric Company in the Tehran suburbs, a

reportedly dismantled uranium enrichment plant in Lashkar Abad, and

the Radioactive Waste Storage Units in Karaj and Anarak.

 

 

bushehr.jpg (41723 bytes)

 

 

Primary target: Bushehr nuclear reactor and hundreds of Russian

technicians

Other first targets would be Shahab-I, II, and III missile launch

sites, air bases (including the large Mehrabad air base/international

airport near Tehran), naval installations on the Persian Gulf and

Caspian Sea, command, control, communications and intelligence

facilities. Secondary targets would include civilian airports, radio

and TV installations, telecommunications centers, government

buildings, conventional power plants, highways and bridges, and rail

lines. Oil installations and commercial port facilities would likely

be relatively untouched by U.S. forces in order to preserve them for

U.S. oil and business interests.

 

There has been a rapid increase in training and readiness at a number

of U.S. military installations involved with the planned primarily

aerial attack. These include a Pentagon order to Fort Rucker, Alabama,

to be prepared to handle an estimated 50,000 to 60,000 trainees,

including civilian contractors, who will be deployed for Iranian

combat operations. Rucker is home to the US Army's aviation training

command, including the helicopter training school.

 

In addition, there has been an increase in readiness at nearby

Hurlburt Field in Florida, the home of the U.S. Air Force Special

Operations Command. The U.S. attack on Iran will primarily involve

aviation (Navy, Air Force, Navy-Marine Corps) and special operations

assets.

 

There has also been a noticeable increase in activity at Marine Corps

Air Ground Combat Center at Twentynine Palms, California, a primary

live fire training activity located in a desert and mountainous

environment similar to target areas in Iran.

 

From European intelligence agencies comes word that the United States

has told its NATO allies to be prepared for a military strike on

Iranian nuclear development and military installations.

 

On November 17, 2005, Russian President Vladimir Putin spent seven

hours in secret discussions with Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip

Erdogan during the the opening ceremonies in Samsun, Turkey for the

Russian-Turkish underwater Blue Stream natural gas pipeline,

festivities also attended by Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.

 

According to sources knowledgeable about the meeting, Erdogan promised

Putin, who has become a close friend, that Turkey would not support

the use of its bases by the United States in a military attack on

Iran. That brought a series of high level visits to Turkey by Bush

administration officials, including CIA chief Porter Goss, FBI Robert Mueller, and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

 

Although Erdogan listened to Goss's and Rice's pleas for Turkish

logistical, political, and intelligence help for an attack on Iran and

Turkish Army Chief Yasar Buyukanit heard much the same from Pentagon

officials during his recent trip to Washington, the word is that Putin

now has enough clout in Ankara to scuttle any use of Turkey by the

U.S. for an attack on Iran. [Mueller delivered Ankara intelligence

" proof " of Iranian backing for Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) guerrillas

in Turkey. Intelligence agencies and business intelligence units

around the world are now discounting any intelligence coming from the

Bush administration as neocon propaganda invented by think tanks and

discredited intelligence agencies in Washington, Tel Aviv-Herzliya,

and Jerusalem].

 

 

irannuke.jpg (121275 bytes)

 

A U.S. Attack on Iran: The Perfect Storm for wider nuclear conflict

U.S. political and military officials have also approached Bahrain,

Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Jordan, Oman, and Azerbaijan seeking their

support for a U.S. attack on Iran. Ina replay of the phony pre-war

intelligence on Iraq, Washington is trying to convince various

countries that a link exists between Iran and " Al Qaeda. "

 

Polish intelligence sources report that Poland's Defense Minister

Radek Sikorski assured Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld of Poland's

support for any U.S. strike against Iran. Sikorski is a former

American Enterprise Institute colleague of such neo-cons as Richard

Perle, Michael Ledeen, and Lynne Cheney, the so-called " Second Lady "

of the United States. Sikorski and Polish Foreign Minister Stefan

Meller assured Rumsfeld and Rice, respectively, that Poland would

stand by the United States during the split in NATO that will occur as

a result of the American strike. Polish intelligence sources, who are

unhappy with the arrangement of the new right-wing government in

Warsaw with the Bush administration, leaked the information about the

recent U.S. demarche to NATO in Brussels about preparation for the attack.

 

Similar intelligence " leaks " about the U.S. attack plans were also

leaked to the German magazine Der Spiegel.

 

European intelligence sources also report that the recent decision by

Putin and Russia's state-owned Gazprom natural gas company to cut

supplied of natural gas to Ukraine was a clear warning by Putin to

nations like Ukraine, Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia,

Slovenia, Croatia, Moldova, France, Austria, Italy, Hungary, Bosnia,

Serbia, and Germany that it would do the same if they support the U.S.

attack on Iran. Gazprom natural gas is supplied, via pipelines in

Ukraine, from Russia and Turkmenistan to countries in Eastern and

Western Europe. The Bush administration charged Russia with using gas

supplies as a " political tool. "

 

 

Putin has additional leverage on Western Europe since former German

Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder accepted an appointment to the board of a

joint Russian-German North European Gas Pipeline Consortium that is

controlled by Gazprom. The pipeline will bring Russian gas to

Scandinavia, Germany, Netherlands, and Britain, giving Putin

additional leverage over Washington in Europe.

 

 

Southeast Asian intelligence sources report that Burma's (Myanmar's)

recent abrupt decision to move its capital from Rangoon (Yangon) to

remote Pyinmana, 200 miles to the north, is a result of Chinese

intelligence warnings to its Burmese allies about the effects of

radiation resulting from a U.S. conventional or tactical nuclear

attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. There is concern that a series

of attacks on Iranian nuclear installations will create a

Chernobyl-like radioactive cloud that would be caught up in monsoon

weather in the Indian Ocean.

 

 

Rangoon (Yangon) capital moved 200 miles north over fears of monsoon

season Iran nuclear fallout?

 

Low-lying Rangoon lies in the path of monsoon rains that would

continue to carry radioactive fallout from Iran over South and

Southeast Asia between May and October. Coastal Indian Ocean cities

like Rangoon, Dhaka, Calcutta, Mumbai, Chennai, and Colombo would be

affected by the radioactive fallout more than higher elevation cities

since humidity intensifies the effects of the fallout. Thousands of

government workers were given only two days' notice to pack up and

leave Rangoon for the higher (and dryer) mountainous Pyinmana.

 

In neighboring West Bengal, the leftist government and its national

leftist allies around the country are planning massive demonstrations

during Bush's upcoming trip to India. They are protesting the war in

Iraq as well as the threats against Iran.

 

Reports from Yemen indicate that western oil companies are concerned

about U.S. intentions in Iran since the southern Arabian country

catches the edge of the monsoon rains that could contain radioactive

fallout from an attack, endangering their workers in the country.

 

 

The Bush administration aborted last minute plans to attack Iranian

nuclear and political installations prior to the 2004 presidential

election. On October 9, Rumsfeld met with defense minister colleagues

on the now decommissioned USS John F. Kennedy in the Persian Gulf to

seek support for the attack. That meeting has been confirmed by the

Danish Defense Minister who was in attendance, however, the topic of

the meeting was not discussed. According to U.S. naval personnel on

board the Kennedy, a special " war room " was set up to coordinate the

attack. Britain, Australia, Italy, Netherlands, and Japan did not

attend the meeting because of their opposition to the attack plans.

 

 

Intelligence and military officials around the world are also bracing

for the results of a U.S. attack on Iran. This includes the distinct

possibility of a major Shia retaliatory attack in Iraq, the Eastern

Province of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates,

Lebanon, and Afghanistan against U.S. military, diplomatic, and

economic targets in the region. Radioactive fallout from a

conventional or tactical nuclear attack on Iran will result in major

problems with Pakistan, India, China, Russia, Japan, and other

downwind countries in Asia and the Pacific Rim, possibly including the

fall of the Pervez Musharraf government in Pakistan and replacement by

a radical Islamist regime having possession of nuclear weapons. That

would provoke a military response from nuclear power India.

 

 

In a counter-attack, Iran would immediately launch its Shahab I and II

missiles at the U.S. Green Zone in Baghdad, the Al Udeid airbase in

Qatar, the US Navy base in Bahrain, Camp Doha base in Kuwait, Al Seeb

airbase in Oman, Baghdad International Airport, the U.S. base in

Kandahar, Afghanistan. Iran would also launch its long-range Shahab

III missiles on the Israeli cities of Tel Aviv, Haifa, Beersheba,

Eilat, and the Israeli nuclear complex at Dimona. Iranian missiles

would also be launched at US naval ships in the Persian Gulf and oil

installations in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.

 

 

The virtual end of NATO as a viable defense organization may also

result from an attack that will drive a final wedge between Washington

and Europe. And China may elect to respond financially and militarily

against the United States since Iran is China's second largest source

of imported Middle East oil after Saudi Arabia and plans to use an

Iranian terminal for the export of natural gas from Turkmenistan.

[China now imports 60 percent of its oil needs, and Iran represents 17

percent of those imports].

 

 

Russia recently participated in, through the Shanghai Cooperation

Organization (SCO), a three-way military exercise (code named " Indira

2005 " ) between Russia, China, and India to prepare for any new U.S.

power projections in Asia, including an attack on Iran, a prospective

SCO member. Last August, Russia and China held their first-ever joint

land-sea-air military exercises.

 

Iran also held a large military exercise in early December in Bandar

Abbas on the Gulf. An Iranian C-130 carrying Iranian journalists from

Mehrabad airport to Bandar to cover the exercise crashed into a Tehran

apartment building on December 6, killing at least 116 people,

including 68 journalists.

 

 

Within the U.S. military and across the globe, there is heightened

tension about the intentions of the neocon Bush administration and its

allies in Israel.