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Tue, 1 Mar 2005 11:29:21 UT

" Medialens Media Alerts " <noreply

 

Is The Earth Really Finished?

 

MEDIA LENS: Correcting for the distorted vision of the corporate media

 

 

March 1, 2005

 

MEDIA ALERT: IS THE EARTH REALLY FINISHED?

 

Countering Despair with the Momentum of Hope

 

" What goes against the grain of conditioning is experienced as not

credible, or as a hostile act. " (John McMurtry, philosopher)

 

 

Bizarre Conversations

 

Climate crisis is not a future risk. It is today's reality. As Myles

Allen, a climate scientist at Oxford University, warned recently: " The

danger zone is not something we are going to reach in the middle of this

century. We are in it now. " (Roger Highfield, `Screen saver weather

trial predicts 10 deg rise in British temperatures', Daily Telegraph, 31

January, 2005)

 

Human-induced climate change has been killing people for decades.

Climatologists estimate that global warming has led to the deaths of

150,000

people since 1970. (Meteorological Office, `Avoiding Dangerous Climate

Change', 1-3 February 2005, Table 2a. `Impacts on human systems due to

temperature rise, precipitation change and increases in extreme

events', page 1; www.stabilisation2005.com/impacts/impacts_human.pdf)

By 2050,

as temperatures rise, scientists warn that three billion people will be

under " water stress " , with tens of millions likely dying as a result.

 

At such a desperate moment in the planet's history, we could simply

throw up our hands in despair, or we could try to reduce the

likelihood of

the worst predictions coming true. The corporate media has yet to

examine its own role in setting up huge obstacles to the latter option of

hope.

 

Consider, for example, Michael McCarthy, environment editor of the

Independent. McCarthy described how he " was taken aback " at dramatic

scientific warnings of " major new threats " at a recent climate

conference in

Exeter. One frightening prospect is the collapse of the West Antarctic

ice sheet, previously considered stable, which would lead to a 5-metre

rise in global sea level. As McCarthy notes dramatically: " Goodbye

London; goodbye Bangladesh " .

 

On the way back from Exeter on the train, he mulls over the conference

findings with Paul Brown, environment correspondent of the Guardian:

 

" By the time we reached London we knew what the conclusion was. I said:

`The earth is finished.' Paul said: `It is, yes.' We both shook our

heads and gave that half-laugh that is sparked by incredulity. So many

environmental scare stories, over the years; I never dreamed of such a

one

as this.

 

" And what will our children make of our generation, who let this

planet, so lovingly created, go to waste? " (McCarthy, `Slouching towards

disaster', The Tablet, 12 February, 2005; available at

http://www.gci.org.uk/articles/Tablet.pdf)

 

This is a remarkably bleak conclusion. McCarthy glibly notes the

" inevitability of what [is] going to happen " , namely: " The earth is

finished. " We applaud the journalist for presenting the reality of

human-caused

climate change. But the resignation, and the apparent lack of any

resolve to avert catastrophe, is irresponsible. As Noam Chomsky has

put it

in a different, though related, context:

 

" We are faced with a kind of Pascal's wager: assume the worst and it

will surely arrive: commit oneself to the struggle for freedom and

justice, and its cause may be advanced. " (Chomsky, `Deterring Democracy',

Vintage, London, 1992, p. 64)

 

Following McCarthy's anguished return to the Independent's comfortable

offices in London, one searches in vain for his penetrating news

reports on how corporate greed and government complicity have dragged

humanity into this abyss. One searches in vain, too, for anything

similar by

Paul Brown in The Guardian.

 

The notion of government and big business perpetrating climate crimes

against humanity is simply off the news agenda. A collective madness of

suffocating silence pervades the media, afflicting even those editors

and journalists that we are supposed to regard as the best.

 

 

Contraction and Convergence: Climate Logic for Survival

 

In 1992, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change was

agreed. The objective of the convention is to " stabilise greenhouse gas

concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that will avoid dangerous

rates of climate change. " The Kyoto protocol, which came into force in

February, requires developed nations to cut emissions by just 5 per

cent, compared to 1990 levels. This is a tiny first step, and is far less

than the cuts required, which are around 80 per cent.

 

One of the major gaps in the climate `debate' is the deafening silence

surrounding contraction and convergence (C & C). This proposal by the

London-based Global Commons Institute would cut greenhouse gas emissions

in a fair and timely manner, averting the worst climatic impacts. Unlike

Kyoto, it is a global framework involving all countries, both

`developed' and `developing'.

 

C & C requires that annual emissions of greenhouse gases contract over

time to a sustainable level. The aim would be to limit the equivalent

concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to a safe level. The

pre-industrial level, in 1800, was 280 parts per million by volume

(ppmv).

The current level is around 380 ppmv, and it will exceed 400 ppmv

within ten years under a business as usual scenario. Even if we stopped

burning fossil fuels today, the planet would continue to heat up for more

than a hundred years. In other words, humanity has already committed

life on the planet to considerable climate-related damages in the

years to

come.

 

Setting a `safe' limit of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration

actually means estimating a limit beyond which damage to the planet is

unacceptable. This may be 450 ppmv; or it may be that the international

community agrees on a target lower than the present atmospheric level,

say

350 ppmv. Once the target is agreed, it is a simple matter to allocate

an equitable `carbon budget' of annual emissions amongst the world's

population on a per capita basis. This is worked out for each country or

world region (e.g. the European Union).

 

The Global Commons Institute's eye-catching computer graphics

illustrate past emissions and future allocation of emissions by

country (or

region), achieving per capita equality by 2030, for example. This is the

convergence part of C & C. After 2030, emissions drop off to reach safe

levels by 2100. This is the contraction. (Further information on C & C,

with

illustrations, can be found at http://www.gci.org.uk).

 

Recall that the objective of the UN Framework Convention on Climate

Change is to " stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in the

atmosphere at

a level that will avoid dangerous rates of climate change. " Its basic

principles are precaution and equity. C & C is a simple and powerful

proposal that directly embodies both the convention's objective and

principles.

 

Last year, the secretariat to the UNFCCC negotiations declared that

achieving the treaty's objective " inevitably requires Contraction and

Convergence " . C & C is supported by an impressive array of authorities in

climate science, including physicist Sir John Houghton, the former chair

of the science assessment working group of the Intergovernmental Panel

on Climate Change (1988-2002). Indeed, the IPCC, comprising the world's

recognised climate experts, has announced that: " C & C takes the

rights-based approach to its logical conclusion. "

 

The prestigious Institute of Civil Engineers in London recently

described C & C as " an antidote to the expanding, diverging and

climate-changing

nature of global economic development " . The ICE added that C & C " could

prove to be the ultimate sustainability initia­tive. " (Proceedings of

the Institution of Civil Engineers, London, paper 13982, December 2004)

 

In February 2005, Aubrey Meyer of the Global Commons Institute was

given a lifetime's achievement award by the Corporation of London.

Nominations had been sought for " the person from the worlds of business,

academia, politics and activism seeking the individual who had made the

greatest contribution to the understanding and combating of climate

change,

leading strategic debate and policy formation. "

 

Although Meyer is at times understandably somewhat despondent at the

enormity of the task ahead, he sees fruitful signs in the global

grassroots push for sustainable development, something which " is

impossible

without personal and human development. These are things we have to work

for so hope has momentum as well as motive. " (`GCI's Meyer looks ahead',

interview with Energy Argus, December 2004, p. 15; reprinted in

http://www.gci.org.uk/briefings/EAC_document_3.pdf, p. 27)

 

And that momentum of hope is building. C & C has attracted statements of

support from leading politicians and grassroots groups in a majority of

the world's countries, including the Africa Group, the Non-Aligned

Movement, China and India. C & C may well be the only approach to

greenhouse

emissions that developing countries are willing to accept. That, in

turn, should grab the attention of even the US; the Bush administration

rejected the Kyoto protocol ostensibly, at least, because the agreement

requires no commitments from developing nations. Kyoto involves only

trivial cuts in greenhouse gas emissions, as we noted above, and the

agreement will expire in 2012. A replacement agreement is needed fast.

 

On a sane planet, politicians and the media would now be clamouring to

introduce C & C as a truly global, logical and equitable framework for

stabilising the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide. Rational and

balanced coverage of climate change would be devoting considerable

resources to discussion of this groundbreaking proposal. It would be

central to news reports of international climate meetings as a way out

of the

deadlock of negotiations; Jon Snow of Channel 4 news would be hosting

hour-long live debates; the BBC's Jeremy Paxman would demand of

government ministers why they had not yet signed up to C & C; ITN's Trevor

Macdonald would present special documentaries from a multimillion

pound ITN

television studio; newspaper editorials would analyse the implications

of C & C for sensible energy policies and tax regimes; Friends of the

Earth and Greenpeace would be endlessly promoting C & C to their

supporters.

Instead, a horrible silence prevails.

 

 

Leaders as Moral Metaphors of a Corrupt System

 

We conducted a Lexis-Nexis newspaper database search to gauge the

relative importance given to different topics in climate news reports

by a

number of major environment reporters. The following figures relate to

the five year period leading up to, and including, 25 February 2005. We

investigated to what extent equity, and contraction and convergence,

entered into mainstream news reports on climate, in the best British

press.

 

Michael McCarthy (Independent) Number of news reports

" climate " 232

" climate " + " industry " 80

" climate " + " Blair " 53

" climate " + " equity " 0

" climate " + " contraction and convergence " 0

 

Geoffrey Lean (Independent on Sunday)

" climate " 105

" climate " + " industry " 40

" climate " + " Blair " 38

" climate " + " equity " 0

" climate " + " contraction and convergence " 1

 

Charles Clover (Telegraph)

" climate " 136

" climate " + " industry " 47

" climate " + " Blair " 38

" climate " + " equity " 0

" climate " + " contraction and convergence " 0

 

Paul Brown (Guardian)

" climate " 287

" climate " + " industry " 137

" climate " + " Blair " 48

" climate " + " equity " 1

" climate " + " contraction and convergence " 1

 

John Vidal (Guardian)

" climate " 193

" climate " + " industry " 98

" climate " + " Blair " 31

" climate " + " equity " 1

" climate " + " contraction and convergence " 0

 

This is not a rigorous scientific analysis, of course, but the numbers

+are+ highly indicative of hugely skewed priorities. Out of a grand

total of 953 articles across the Independent, Independent on Sunday,

Guardian and Telegraph, C & C was mentioned only twice, as was equity.

On the

other hand, industry was addressed in 402 articles, and Blair was

mentioned 208 times, both almost entirely from an uncritical perspective.

 

One might counter that pronouncements on climate by Tony Blair, as

prime minister, should be deemed automatically `newsworthy'. But we must

also bear in mind what Blair actually represents, even if the media

conceals it well. Canadian philosopher John McMurtry explains:

 

" Tony Blair exemplifies the character structure of the global market

order. Packaged in the corporate culture of youthful image, he is

constructed as sincere, energetic and moral. Like other ruling-party

leaders,

he has worked hard to be selected by the financial and media axes of

power as `the man to do the job'. He is a moral metaphor of the system. "

(McMurtry, `Value Wars', Pluto, London, 2002, p. 22)

 

Although public trust in Blair has collapsed after his many deceptions

over Iraq, the media continue to present him as a fundamentally

well-intentioned leader pursuing the interests of the nation. Thus,

whenever

Blair, Bush and other corporate-backed political leaders are given

prominent news coverage, the media is in effect promoting its own

business

goals of profit and power. This is inimical to any reasonable prospect

of averting climate catastrophe.

 

Contraction and convergence is the only serious global framework on the

table for plotting a route out of the climate crisis. That C & C, and the

concept of equity, can be so systematically ignored by the corporate

media, is yet another damning indictment of the media's systemic

failings. It is incumbent upon us all to push these issues onto the news

agenda.

 

 

SUGGESTED ACTION

 

The goal of Media Lens is to promote rationality, compassion and

respect for others. When writing emails to journalists, we strongly urge

readers to maintain a polite, non-aggressive and non-abusive tone. You

could ask questions along the following lines: In your reports on climate

change, why do you never address equity, or contraction and convergence?

 

Write to Michael McCarthy, environment editor of the Independent:

Email: m.mccarthy

 

Write to Geoffrey Lean, environment editor of the Independent on

Sunday:

Email: g.lean

 

Write to Charles Clover, environment editor of the Daily Telegraph:

Charles.Clover

 

Write to Paul Brown, environment correspondent of the Guardian:

Email: paul.brown

 

Write to John Vidal, environment editor of the Guardian:

Email: john.vidal

 

Please also send all emails to us at Media Lens:

Email: editor

 

This is a free service. However, financial support is vital. Currently

only one of us is able to work full-time on this project. Please

consider giving less to the corporate media and donating more to Media

Lens:

http://www.medialens.org/donate.html

 

Visit the Media Lens website: http://www.medialens.org

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