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Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:37:23 -0500

HSI - Jenny Thompson

Crashing the Market

 

Crashing the Market

 

Health Sciences Institute e-Alert

 

October 20, 2003

 

**************************************************************

 

Dear Reader,

 

Most of us can't help it. When we see a car wreck on the

highway, we slow down to catch a glimpse. That's the feeling

I had while reading about two drug giants colliding in the

marketplace. And it's shaping up to be quite a car wreck. So

we're going to slow down a bit to take a look.

 

In last week's " Cresting the Wave " (10/15/03) I told you

about the launch of a new cholesterol-lowering statin drug

called Crestor, manufactured by AstraZeneca (AZ), the fifth

largest drug company in the world. AZ reps have made no

secret of their hopes that Crestor will effectively rival

Pfizer's Lipitor, the long-time statin king with annual sales

of about $8 billion. Excuse me for saying it, but that takes

some brass.

 

Brass bumpers, that is. Because when you gun your car through

that kind of heavy traffic, you're bound to get banged around

by the FDA approval process and insurance companies, while

charting a high-speed collision course with the big Hummer:

Lipitor.

 

Quick - someone call 911!

 

-----------------------------

How fast was I going, officer?

-----------------------------

 

AstraZeneca's pitch for Crestor is that it's less expensive

and more effective than Lipitor, with similar side effects.

And the new drug is already selling like hotcakes in the

U.K., Canada, and several other countries where it's been

available since last February.

 

Meanwhile, here in the U.S., the FDA pulled Crestor over for

doing 80 in a 40.

 

In the original clinical trials presented to the FDA, some of

the subjects who took 80 mg developed kidney damage. (Not

really all that shocking given that, as a class of drugs,

statins have always been associated with kidney toxicity.) So

the folks at the FDA said, " Try again, " and AZ resubmitted

Crestor at doses of 40 mg or less. The FDA gave the green

light, and Crestor was introduced in the U.S in September.

 

-----------------------------

Stuck in traffic

-----------------------------

 

Within just a couple of weeks of Crestor's U.S. launch,

AstraZeneca announced that the new drug had already captured

more than 2 percent of the new prescriptions written for

statin drugs in the U.S. These impressive stats were released

at a high-profile meeting with investors at AZ's U.S.

headquarters in Fairfax, VA. But the party was spoiled when,

that very same day, Wellpoint (the second largest private

health insurer in the U.S.) announced that prescriptions for

Crestor would not be covered because of concerns over the

safety of the drug.

 

This was a blow. It meant that more than 13 million Americans

in the Wellpoint system would have to pay for Crestor out of

pocket. But perhaps even worse than that, when reps for

Wellpoint made the announcement, they used the " B " word:

Baycol.

 

Baycol was A.G. Bayer's entry into the statin market a few

years ago, and talk about car wrecks! In the e-Alert " Pot,

Meet Kettle " (3/5/03) I told you how Baycol had been yanked

from the market in 2001 because of adverse reactions,

including acute kidney failure and more than 30 deaths. Bayer

was sued by thousands of patients, and spent well over a $1

million settling many of the cases out of court.

 

So when Dr. Robert Seidman, Wellpoint's chief pharmacy

officer, told reporters that the insurance company was being

cautious because, " We've already been Baycolled, " the seed of

doubt was planted by making the association between Bayer's

dangerous product and the kidney problems attributed to

Crestor in those early 80 mg trials that the FDA rejected.

 

So was Wellpoint simply protecting clients by denying the

Crestor coverage? Tom McKillop, AZ's chief executive,

reportedly told a writer for TheStreet.com, " I don't believe

for a moment that it's about side effects. "

 

-----------------------------

Crazy like a fox

-----------------------------

 

Less than a week after Wellpoint ruined AZ's day, Reuters

reported that a new UK study had revealed that in a group of

14,000 heart disease patients, statins failed to lower

cholesterol to recommended levels in about half the subjects.

The headline read: " Statin Drugs Fail Half UK Heart Patients-

Study. "

 

Now you might think that on the heels of this news AZ

executives would have started pulling out their hair again,

but not so. Because the statin drugs this study focused on

were the older statins, such as atorvastatin (brand name:

Lipitor) and simvastatin (brand name: Zocor). The newer type

of statin drug known as rosuvastatin (brand name: Crestor)

wasn't included in the study.

 

So this was a lucky break for AZ, right? Well, it was perhaps

more than just a break. Because the research was sponsored by

AstraZeneca. I'm not saying anyone falsified the results.

They didn't need to. Previous studies have already shown that

statin drugs significantly lower cholesterol in less than

half of those who take them. So the " failed " effectiveness was

virtually a foregone conclusion.

 

-----------------------------

I brake for drug giants

-----------------------------

 

See where this is going? With large shares of a $20-billion-

per-year statin market at stake, the players in this market

aren't going to leave anything to chance.

 

According to one report, AstraZeneca may be planning to

invest as much as $1 billion to promote Crestor this year.

That means two things: 1) We'll be seeing even more

commercials warning us that we must save our lives by taking

statins to lower our cholesterol, and 2) These Goliaths -

Crestor and Lipitor - are on a collision course, with Zocor

right there in it with them as well.

 

I'll keep you posted as more details are reported. Until

then... buckle up! It's going to be a bumpy ride.

 

**************************************************************

 

To start receiving your own copy of the HSI e-Alert, visit:

http://www.hsibaltimore.com/ealert/freecopy.html

Or forward this e-mail to a friend so they can sign-up to

receive their own copy of the HSI e-Alert.

 

**************************************************************

 

... and another thing

 

And now, back to reality...

 

While researching today's e-Alert I came across an item I

told you about last year. The World Heart Federation (WHF)

issued a statement warning that a lack of physical activity

doubles your chances of developing heart disease while

increasing the risk of high blood pressure and type 2

diabetes.

 

The WHF estimates that as much as 85% of the world's

population fails to get even moderate exercise. So, if you're

part of that scant 15%, you're doing the single most

important thing you can do to increase your exercise

capacity, enhance your immune system, and make your heart a

little healthier every day.

 

And if you can't put aside a half hour every day for light

exercise, three 10-minute exercise sessions per day are just

as good, according to research from the UK. The study

concluded that middle-aged men and women who take three 10-

minute brisk walks each day showed just as much improvement

in their cardiovascular health as subjects who walked for 30

minutes at a stretch each day.

 

They just keep making it harder for us to find excuses, don't

they?

 

To Your Good Health,

 

Jenny Thompson

Health Sciences Institute

 

**************************************************************

Sources:

" The New Statin " Nicholas Regush, Red Flags Weekly, 10/6/03,

redflagsweekly.com

" AstraZeneca's Crestor " Jeff Hwang, The Motley Fool, 10/2/03,

fool.com

" US Blow to AstraZeneca " Nils Pratley, The Guardian, 10/4/03,

guardian.co.uk

" AstraZeneca: U.S. Crestor Sales Encouraging " Ben Hirschler,

Reuters, 10/2/03, reuters.com

" Insurer Will Not Cover Crestor " Fred Biddle, The News

Journal, 10/2/03, delawareonline.com

" Statin Drugs Fail Half UK Heart Patients - Study " Reuters,

10/5/03, reuters.com

" Lack of Exercise 'Damages Heart' " BBC News, 9/23/02

" Accumulating Brisk Walking for Fitness, Cardiovascular Risk,

and Psychological Health " Medicine & Science in Sports &

Exercise, 2002, Sep;34(9):1468-74

 

Copyright ©1997-2003 by www.hsibaltimore.com, L.L.C.

The e-Alert may not be posted on commercial sites without

written permission.

 

**************************************************************

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visit here http://www.hsibaltimore.com/ealert/questions.html

 

**************************************************************

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