Guest guest Posted May 8, 2003 Report Share Posted May 8, 2003 Quoting KD Weber <wvadreamin: > ED NOTE: Boost your immune systems and keep your body pH as close to 7 > as you can. > > SARS Death Rate Up > To 55% For People Over 60 > 5-7-3 http://www.rense.com/general37/srsdeath.htm > > > LONDON (Reuters) - The death rate from SARS could be as high as 55 > percent in people over 60 years old and 13 percent in those under 60, an > international team of scientists estimated on Wednesday. > > Researchers and health officials in Hong Kong and Britain, who examined > data from the first nine weeks of the outbreak of the mysterious virus > in Hong Kong, also found the incubation period -- the time from > infection to displaying symptoms -- averaged six days. > > " Our best estimate for the under 60s is between seven and 13 percent > and our best estimate for the over 60s is between 43 and 55 percent, " > Professor Christl Donnelly of Imperial College London, who worked on the > research, told Reuters. > > " Although this study shows the fatality rate from SARS is higher than > previously thought, we now know that public health interventions have > been successfully reducing the spread of the disease, " she added. > > The study, published online by The Lancet medical journal, is the first > published epidemiological analysis of the spread of SARS. > > The World Health Organisation (WHO) warned last week the SARS death > rate was likely to rise, but these latest estimates are much higher than > the previous 6-10 percent figures. > > Donnelly said that in a growing epidemic, early death rates often > underestimate the true mortality rate. > > " We have no evidence to show that the death rate has gone up over time. > Instead we've gained more information about it and this is using the > most statistical robust analysis technique to date, " she explained. > > SARS has killed hundreds of people and infected thousands since it > broke out in southern China last November. > > The research also showed the time from onset of symptoms to admission > to hospital decreased from five to three days over the course of the > outbreak. > > > > " If it can be dropped further it will have an important effect on > reducing transmission, " Donnelly said. > > Estimated time from hospital admission to death from SARS was 36 days, > and from admission to discharge was 23.5 days. > > Efforts by Hong Kong officials to quickly identify and confirm cases > and in quarantining, monitoring and encouraging people with symptoms to > report to hospital helped slow the outbreak, the scientists added. > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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