Guest guest Posted August 5, 2006 Report Share Posted August 5, 2006 - hello sir, why did u say any thing on srilanka? any way u must be like impotent film journalist whom must be critising others movies with out ability to make one. please take this as a challenge. predict for one year on mudane astrology events . if it comes correct atleast 80% then we will respect ur opinion. if u are man enough please take it.prove it by action.who wants theory there are dollar a dozen. maths theory some kind of new joke. it will hurt ur ego which comes from with out achieving any thing inw world of astrology and u will write some thing in retaliation for which no reply will come from me.it is easy to critisise others like arm chair people please do it by prediction?prove by predicting better than mr.gopal . bye ramalingam -- In , SPK <aquaris_rising wrote: > > Hello Sundeep, > > Excellent post. I have been making similar point for > sometime now. Your post makes an excellent observation > of probability of being randomly correct. > > Its like someone saying that Australia will do well in > next cricket world cup. I mean they have been in > finals in the past 3 world cups, so someone touts that > as a prediction, I feel that does not need any > astrological knowledge what so ever. If one puts > country chart and tithi pravesha and 20 divisional > charts to back their prediction, I would consider it a > waste of time as same can be arrived at with an ounce > of commonsense. > > Anyone who can read and can use a program to cast a > horoscope can tell what lagna is in all the divisions, > what arudha is for a chart, yada yada yada. It is > ameaningless banter. Predict when there are more than > two possibilities ( low probability of an event) and > do it consistently. > > Unfortunately I do not see anyone who can do such a > thing, even the most celebrated ones can not do this. > Thats why astrology is not taken seriously by most > rational people. > > Satish > > --- vedicastrostudent <vedicastrostudent > wrote: > > > Dear Bharatji, > > Not only that, I feel what most people dont > > understand is that in > > order to understand the true value of a prediction, > > you must > > additionally attach to it the probability of > > randomly being correct. > > For example, in two-outcome situations with > > approximately equally > > matched opponents e.g. a match between two teams or > > an election > > between two candidates or a bill being > > passed/rejected by lawmakers, > > the probability of randomly being correct in a > > prediction, without > > using any principles whatsoever, is 0.5. > > Consequently, any prediction > > of such situations does not carry much weight to > > begin with. In order > > for a prediction to carry a lot of weight, the > > probability of > > randomly being correct should be very low. > > > > For example, if an astrologer were to correctly > > predict the month and > > year of birth of the first child of a person when > > the person was not > > even thinking of being married, it would be an > > extremely impressive > > prediction, because the probability of randomly > > being correct would > > be very low. A random prediction would have to > > select from at least > > 10 childbearing years in each of which there would > > be 12 > > possibilities. So there would be at least a 100 > > possibilities making > > the probability of a random hit being 0.01. > > > > Such predictions have to be highlighted (I mean > > those in which random > > chance of correctness is very low). Otherwise, if > > two-outcome > > situations are what are to be focussed on, then a > > string of two > > outcome situations must be shown e.g. a list of > > twenty matches, in > > each of which the prediction came true. The > > probability of RANDOMLY > > being correct in ALL 20, would be 0.5*0.5*0.5.. > > twenty times, which > > is very low. > > > > It is also not ok to post simply the matches in > > which a prediction > > was correct. All matches for which predictions were > > made must be > > posted, even those that were wrong, so that an > > observant reader can > > contrast the random chance of success with the > > astrologer's > > prediction quality. > > > > I say all this not to put down astrologers, only to > > awaken them to > > mathematical realities. If they respected certain > > mathematical > > realities, and presented their predictions within > > the context of > > these realities, the average person would quickly > > accept their > > results. Moreover, it would serve as a litmus test > > for good > > astrologers. > > > > > > Thanks > > > > Sundeep > > > > > > , "Bharat Hindu > > Astrology" > > <hinduastrology@> wrote: > > > > > > Namaskaar Sri Ramalingam > > > > > > Wouldn't it be better if you inform of such posts, > > when they are > > written and > > > not when they come true? > > > > > > Thanks and Regards > > > Bharat > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted August 8, 2006 Report Share Posted August 8, 2006 Hello Sir, I predict that federal reserve will pause interest rises soon. There is a strong chance of them pausing at August meeting. They will discuss long and hard about inflation threats.They will put lagguage in the statement that will indicate that it has come to the end of the cycle of monitory tightening, but look at the inflation data more carefully.. Market will initially take this news positivelty but there will be uncertainty in markets due to rising oil prices and conflict in the middle east. Market will trade side ways ( Us market) for some time. I predict that Sri lanka will do well in the tri series in Sri lanka. South Africa will be competitive and India will be well lead by Dravid. Tendulakar will make a comback to the indian team and will be successful but not spectaculary. Satish P.S. These are indications based on the current planetary configurations and need not come true. --- ramalingam2_sekar <ramalingam2_sekar > wrote: > - > hello sir, > why did u say any thing on srilanka? > any way u must be like impotent film journalist whom > must be > critising others movies with out ability to make > one. > > please take this as a challenge. predict for one > year on mudane > astrology events . if it comes correct atleast 80% > then we will > respect ur opinion. if u are man enough please take > it.prove it by > action.who wants theory there are dollar a dozen. > maths theory some > kind of new joke. > it will hurt ur ego which comes from with out > achieving any thing inw > world of astrology and u will write some thing in > retaliation for > which no reply will come from me.it is easy to > critisise others like > arm chair people please do it by prediction?prove by > predicting > better than mr.gopal . > bye > ramalingam > > > > -- In , SPK > <aquaris_rising wrote: > > > > Hello Sundeep, > > > > Excellent post. I have been making similar point > for > > sometime now. Your post makes an excellent > observation > > of probability of being randomly correct. > > > > Its like someone saying that Australia will do > well in > > next cricket world cup. I mean they have been in > > finals in the past 3 world cups, so someone touts > that > > as a prediction, I feel that does not need any > > astrological knowledge what so ever. If one puts > > country chart and tithi pravesha and 20 divisional > > charts to back their prediction, I would consider > it a > > waste of time as same can be arrived at with an > ounce > > of commonsense. > > > > Anyone who can read and can use a program to cast > a > > horoscope can tell what lagna is in all the > divisions, > > what arudha is for a chart, yada yada yada. It is > > ameaningless banter. Predict when there are more > than > > two possibilities ( low probability of an event) > and > > do it consistently. > > > > Unfortunately I do not see anyone who can do such > a > > thing, even the most celebrated ones can not do > this. > > Thats why astrology is not taken seriously by most > > rational people. > > > > Satish > > > > --- vedicastrostudent <vedicastrostudent > > wrote: > > > > > Dear Bharatji, > > > Not only that, I feel what most people dont > > > understand is that in > > > order to understand the true value of a > prediction, > > > you must > > > additionally attach to it the probability of > > > randomly being correct. > > > For example, in two-outcome situations with > > > approximately equally > > > matched opponents e.g. a match between two teams > or > > > an election > > > between two candidates or a bill being > > > passed/rejected by lawmakers, > > > the probability of randomly being correct in a > > > prediction, without > > > using any principles whatsoever, is 0.5. > > > Consequently, any prediction > > > of such situations does not carry much weight to > > > begin with. In order > > > for a prediction to carry a lot of weight, the > > > probability of > > > randomly being correct should be very low. > > > > > > For example, if an astrologer were to correctly > > > predict the month and > > > year of birth of the first child of a person > when > > > the person was not > > > even thinking of being married, it would be an > > > extremely impressive > > > prediction, because the probability of randomly > > > being correct would > > > be very low. A random prediction would have to > > > select from at least > > > 10 childbearing years in each of which there > would > > > be 12 > > > possibilities. So there would be at least a 100 > > > possibilities making > > > the probability of a random hit being 0.01. > > > > > > Such predictions have to be highlighted (I mean > > > those in which random > > > chance of correctness is very low). Otherwise, > if > > > two-outcome > > > situations are what are to be focussed on, then > a > > > string of two > > > outcome situations must be shown e.g. a list of > > > twenty matches, in > > > each of which the prediction came true. The > > > probability of RANDOMLY > > > being correct in ALL 20, would be 0.5*0.5*0.5.. > > > twenty times, which > > > is very low. > > > > > > It is also not ok to post simply the matches in > > > which a prediction > > > was correct. All matches for which predictions > were > > > made must be > > > posted, even those that were wrong, so that an > > > observant reader can > > > contrast the random chance of success with the > > > astrologer's > > > prediction quality. > > > > > > I say all this not to put down astrologers, only > to > > > awaken them to > > > mathematical realities. If they respected > certain > > > mathematical > > > realities, and presented their predictions > within > > > the context of > > > these realities, the average person would > quickly > > > accept their > > > results. Moreover, it would serve as a litmus > test > > > for good > > > astrologers. > > > > > > > > > Thanks > > > > > > Sundeep > > > > > > > > > , "Bharat > Hindu > > > Astrology" > > > <hinduastrology@> wrote: > > > > > > > > Namaskaar Sri Ramalingam > > > > > > > > Wouldn't it be better if you inform of such > posts, > > > when they are > > > written and > > > > not when they come true? > > > > > > > > Thanks and Regards > > > > Bharat > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Tired of spam? Mail has the best spam > protection around > > > > > > === message truncated === Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted August 8, 2006 Report Share Posted August 8, 2006 Hello, I predict that the gas prices in us will continue to be high. They will come down a bit after the labor day holiday, but will not come down as much as in the past years. Satish Mr Ramalingam, Lets see how many of my predictions come true. They are similar in scope to yours. --- ramalingam2_sekar <ramalingam2_sekar > wrote: > - > hello sir, > why did u say any thing on srilanka? > any way u must be like impotent film journalist whom > must be > critising others movies with out ability to make > one. > > please take this as a challenge. predict for one > year on mudane > astrology events . if it comes correct atleast 80% > then we will > respect ur opinion. if u are man enough please take > it.prove it by > action.who wants theory there are dollar a dozen. > maths theory some > kind of new joke. > it will hurt ur ego which comes from with out > achieving any thing inw > world of astrology and u will write some thing in > retaliation for > which no reply will come from me.it is easy to > critisise others like > arm chair people please do it by prediction?prove by > predicting > better than mr.gopal . > bye > ramalingam > > > > -- In , SPK > <aquaris_rising wrote: > > > > Hello Sundeep, > > > > Excellent post. I have been making similar point > for > > sometime now. Your post makes an excellent > observation > > of probability of being randomly correct. > > > > Its like someone saying that Australia will do > well in > > next cricket world cup. I mean they have been in > > finals in the past 3 world cups, so someone touts > that > > as a prediction, I feel that does not need any > > astrological knowledge what so ever. If one puts > > country chart and tithi pravesha and 20 divisional > > charts to back their prediction, I would consider > it a > > waste of time as same can be arrived at with an > ounce > > of commonsense. > > > > Anyone who can read and can use a program to cast > a > > horoscope can tell what lagna is in all the > divisions, > > what arudha is for a chart, yada yada yada. It is > > ameaningless banter. Predict when there are more > than > > two possibilities ( low probability of an event) > and > > do it consistently. > > > > Unfortunately I do not see anyone who can do such > a > > thing, even the most celebrated ones can not do > this. > > Thats why astrology is not taken seriously by most > > rational people. > > > > Satish > > > > --- vedicastrostudent <vedicastrostudent > > wrote: > > > > > Dear Bharatji, > > > Not only that, I feel what most people dont > > > understand is that in > > > order to understand the true value of a > prediction, > > > you must > > > additionally attach to it the probability of > > > randomly being correct. > > > For example, in two-outcome situations with > > > approximately equally > > > matched opponents e.g. a match between two teams > or > > > an election > > > between two candidates or a bill being > > > passed/rejected by lawmakers, > > > the probability of randomly being correct in a > > > prediction, without > > > using any principles whatsoever, is 0.5. > > > Consequently, any prediction > > > of such situations does not carry much weight to > > > begin with. In order > > > for a prediction to carry a lot of weight, the > > > probability of > > > randomly being correct should be very low. > > > > > > For example, if an astrologer were to correctly > > > predict the month and > > > year of birth of the first child of a person > when > > > the person was not > > > even thinking of being married, it would be an > > > extremely impressive > > > prediction, because the probability of randomly > > > being correct would > > > be very low. A random prediction would have to > > > select from at least > > > 10 childbearing years in each of which there > would > > > be 12 > > > possibilities. So there would be at least a 100 > > > possibilities making > > > the probability of a random hit being 0.01. > > > > > > Such predictions have to be highlighted (I mean > > > those in which random > > > chance of correctness is very low). Otherwise, > if > > > two-outcome > > > situations are what are to be focussed on, then > a > > > string of two > > > outcome situations must be shown e.g. a list of > > > twenty matches, in > > > each of which the prediction came true. The > > > probability of RANDOMLY > > > being correct in ALL 20, would be 0.5*0.5*0.5.. > > > twenty times, which > > > is very low. > > > > > > It is also not ok to post simply the matches in > > > which a prediction > > > was correct. All matches for which predictions > were > > > made must be > > > posted, even those that were wrong, so that an > > > observant reader can > > > contrast the random chance of success with the > > > astrologer's > > > prediction quality. > > > > > > I say all this not to put down astrologers, only > to > > > awaken them to > > > mathematical realities. If they respected > certain > > > mathematical > > > realities, and presented their predictions > within > > > the context of > > > these realities, the average person would > quickly > > > accept their > > > results. Moreover, it would serve as a litmus > test > > > for good > > > astrologers. > > > > > > > > > Thanks > > > > > > Sundeep > > > > > > > > > , "Bharat > Hindu > > > Astrology" > > > <hinduastrology@> wrote: > > > > > > > > Namaskaar Sri Ramalingam > > > > > > > > Wouldn't it be better if you inform of such > posts, > > > when they are > > > written and > > > > not when they come true? > > > > > > > > Thanks and Regards > > > > Bharat > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Tired of spam? Mail has the best spam > protection around > > > > > > === message truncated === Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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