RE: Cheney-Edwards Debate Prediction - NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE

[Guest guest]

Namaste!

 

NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONESat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET New York-Sixty-one

percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30

say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16

percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was

conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than

they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did

worse than expected; 3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows. The

debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in

the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat

including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads

Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a

two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the

poll shows. A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more

confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had

better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say

Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry

came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43%

for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came

across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for

dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers

thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.

Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with

the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval

rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a

6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention.

Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see

Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would. Among

registered voters, 60 percent say they know "a lot" about what Bush stands for,

compared to 38 percent who say so about Kerry, the poll shows. During

the debate, President Bush said the military would remain "an all-volunteer

army," but if Bush is re-elected, 38 percent of registered voters say the draft

is likely to be reinstated; 51 percent say it's not, according to the poll. If

Kerry is elected president, 18 percent say the draft is likely to be

reinstated; 67 percent say it is not. And 62 percent of registered voters say

reinstating the draft should not be considered at this time; 28 percent say it

should be considered. A 60-percent majority of registered voters say

Bush administration policies and diplomatic efforts have led to more

anti-Americanism around the world and 51 percent say the administration has not

done enough to involve major allies and international organizations in trying to

achieve its foreign policy goals, the poll shows. As for who will

handle issues better overall, among registered voters Bush leads Kerry 52 to 40

percent on terrorism and homeland security; the situation in Iraq (49% vs. 44%);

the situation involving Israel and the Palestinians (46% vs. 39%) and

controlling the spread of nuclear weapons (47% v. 43%). Kerry scores better on

the economy (52% vs. 39%); health care, including Medicare (56% to 34%) and

American jobs and foreign competition (54% vs. 36%), the poll shows.

Overall, 62 percent say Bush has strong leadership qualities (compared to 56%

who say so for Kerry). Sixty-six percent say Bush says what he believes, not

just what people want to hear, compared to 48 percent for Kerry. Sixty-five

percent say Bush is personally likeable (63% say so for Kerry). But more

registered voters (57%) say Kerry is honest and ethical (vs. 55% for Bush); the

same amount (51%) says they would trust Kerry to make the right decisions during

an international crisis as would trust Bush (51%); and more (57%) say Kerry

cares about people like them (vs. 49% for Bush). And 80 percent of registered

voters say Kerry is intelligent and well informed, compared to 59 percent for

Bush. On Iraq, 50 percent of registered voters polled say the war in

Iraq was not necessary; 46 percent say it was. And 55 percent of registered

voters say going to war in Iraq has not made Americans safer from terrorism; 41

percent say it has. Fifty-one percent of registered voters say the Bush

administration misinterpreted or misanalyzed the intelligence reports it said

indicated Iraq had banned weapons; 41 percent say it didn't. And 45 percent say

the administration purposely misled the public about evidence that Iraq had

banned weapons in order to build support for the war; 50 percent say it did

not. During is 19-year career in the U.S. Senate, Kerry has changed

his position on a number of issues. From what they know about Kerry, 47 percent

of registered voters say this is because Kerry is thoughtful and changes

position as circumstances change or he learns more about an issue; the same

number (47%) say it's because Kerry is politically-motivated and changes his

position when he thinks it will improve his image or help him win an election.

For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates International

interviewed 1,013 registered voters on Sept. 30-Oct. 2, 2004. END

Narasimha P.V.R. Rao

[pvr (AT) charter (DOT) net]Sunday, October 03, 2004 09:53Vedic Astrology

Group[vedic astrology] Cheney-Edwards Debate Prediction

Namaste,

 

The Bush-Kerry debate was pretty much an even contest. Even the remaining two

presidential debates may be pretty close with no knockout punches, as per my

initial analysis based on daily Tithi Pravesha charts.

 

However, when I looked at the vice Presidential debate date, I was surprised.

Based on what I saw of John Edwards at the Democratic Primaries earlier this

year, I thought John Edwards is a great debater and a very charismatic and

charming orator (a la Bill Clinton). So I was naturally expecting him to steal

the show. However, DTPC showed otherwise.

 

Tough as it is for me to believe, the DTPC is showing that John Edwards will

have a very rough day on Tuesday. Hmmm..

 

Here is the data:

 

John Edwards (natal)

 

June 10, 1953Time: 7:02:00Time Zone: 5:00:00 (West

of GMT)Place: 82 W 57' 12", 34 N 41' 08" Seneca, South

Carolina, USA

John Edwards (DTPC)

 

October 5, 2004Time: 11:14:58Time Zone: 5:00:00

(West of GMT)Place: 82 W 57' 12", 34 N 41' 08" Seneca,

South Carolina, USA

 

In the DTPC, hora lord is Moon. He is the ruler of the day. While exalted

Mercury in 2nd was the ruler of the day for Kerry on Sept 30, making him look

articulate and knowledgeable on that day, Edwards does not have anything like

that. His ruler of the day is in marana karaka sthana in 8th. Moon is the 9th

lord in 8th. It should normally show a terrible day. I wonder if the debate is

going to be disrupted somehow. If it goes on as planned, Edwards may do badly

for some reason that I cannot quite imagine.

 

Dick Cheney (natal) - UNRECTIFIED

 

January 30, 1941Time: 21:30:00Time Zone: 4:00:00

(West of GMT)Place: 96 W 40' 00", 40 N 48' 00" Lincoln,

Nebraska, USA

Dick Cheney (DTPC)

 

October 5, 2004Time: 3:27:14Time Zone: 4:00:00 (West

of GMT)Place: 96 W 40' 00", 40 N 48' 00" Lincoln,

Nebraska, USA

 

In this DTPC, Sun is the hora lord. He is the 2nd lord in 3rd with Mercury, Mars

and Jupiter. He may not be too articulate, but he will put up forceful arguments

and have a decent show overall.

 

My prediction is that Cheney will put up a better show if the debate goes on as

planned. Edwards will not be in his elements on Tuesday evening.

 

Disclaimer: The prediction need not come true. Don't put your money on it! :-)

May Jupiter's light shine on us,

Narasimha

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